Fairfax Challenge SYC/RJCC

Y-10 Men's Foil

Friday, May 13, 2022 at 4:00 PM

Fredericksburg Expo & Conference Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 FEDELI Francesco 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 75%
2 CHEN Hanson 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 13%
3 TANG Royce 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 32% 4%
3 TOOMRE Kai 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 21%
5 CHENG Logan 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 15%
6 DOELL Ethan 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 27%
7 SIMONOV Timofey 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 56%
8 DESERANNO Leander 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 46%
9 LI Bradley 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 23%
10 SHAW eric 100% 90% 59% 23% 5% < 1% -
11 JIN Andy 100% 96% 73% 35% 8% 1%
12 WEI JR Shan 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 25% 3%
13 HUA Aaron 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 41% 10%
14 LEE SIYUN 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 16%
15 SUAREZ David 100% 100% 96% 78% 40% 8%
16 REN Ryan 100% 98% 86% 53% 17% 2%
17 OZAWA Taishi 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 32% 5%
18 QIAN Henry 100% 97% 77% 41% 13% 2% -
19 YU ShiYu (Henry) 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 42% 11%
20 WATERFIELD Lysander 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 22% 4%
21 ALANAZI Saif 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 18% 1%
22 HUANG Jinyao 100% 89% 53% 16% 2% -
23 KINGSLEY Griffin 100% 99% 93% 69% 33% 8% 1%
24 HUYNH Matthew 100% 94% 70% 33% 8% 1% -
25 WANG Xiuqi(Arthur) 100% 97% 83% 52% 21% 4% -
26 XIE Jayden 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 15% 2%
26 LYU Hugo 100% 99% 94% 72% 38% 11% 1%
28 YU ShiLin (Harry) 100% 97% 79% 42% 11% 1%
29 SONG Yuxuan Austin 100% 93% 62% 24% 4% -
30 WU Thomas 100% 100% 94% 75% 41% 12% 1%
31 GRIGORIEV Michael 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 34% 3%
32 LIM EUNSEONG 100% 93% 67% 29% 6% -
33 KROPP Wesley 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 10% 1%
34 ZHAI Derrick 100% 100% 95% 74% 39% 11% 1%
34 HE Ryan 100% 97% 80% 49% 18% 4% -
36 HUANG Anthony 100% 96% 78% 45% 16% 3% -
37 LEE JISUNG 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 14%
38 ZHAI Alex 100% 93% 68% 30% 7% 1% -
39 PAULUS Gregory 100% 89% 53% 18% 3% - -
40 TSENG Lucas 100% 91% 62% 26% 6% 1% -
41 AMR HOSSNY Adam 100% 96% 75% 35% 9% 1% -
42 SHIN Noah 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% - -
43 LEE KWANGHU 100% 100% 97% 85% 58% 25% 5%
44 MAZAHERI Fletcher 100% 89% 57% 21% 4% - -
45 FARMER John 100% 93% 67% 32% 9% 1% -
46 RESENDE BONIFACIUK Lucas 100% 80% 36% 8% 1% - -
47 MAZZUCA Gianluca 100% 99% 88% 56% 21% 4% -
48 CHOW Kingsley 100% 58% 17% 2% - -
49 BAI Austin 100% 84% 43% 12% 2% - -
50 ARORA Maximilian Andras A. 100% 95% 69% 30% 7% 1%
51 MAZAHERI Theodore 100% 75% 35% 10% 2% - -
52 PACK Lindsey 100% 89% 58% 24% 6% 1% -
53 KIM Leo 100% 63% 21% 4% - - -
54 HOARE Gabriel 100% 94% 68% 31% 7% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.