Fairfax Challenge SYC/RJCC

Y-14 Women's Saber

Sunday, May 15, 2022 at 12:00 PM

Fredericksburg Expo & Conference Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 FESTA Carina 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 24%
2 XU Emily T. 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 41% 11%
3 YOUNG Audrey 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24%
3 WANG yining 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 17%
5 FERNANDEZ Martina 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 15% 2%
6 LEMUS-IAKOVIDOU ALEXANDRA 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 31%
7 CHIARELLI Valentina 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 27%
8 LIU Yifei 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 17%
9 WEI JoyAnn 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 71% 27%
10 MALEK Zolie 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 17% 2%
11 GUVEN Coco 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 26% 5%
12 DHAR Layla 100% 100% 98% 85% 55% 21% 3%
13 STONE Coral 100% 100% 98% 83% 51% 18% 3%
14 HUCHWAJDA Pola 100% 100% 97% 86% 57% 22% 3%
15 PANTALEON-MAZOLA Amari 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 20% 3%
16 LATYSHAVA Stephanie 100% 95% 72% 38% 12% 2% -
17 MERCHANT Aishwarya 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 20%
18 LIU Sophie 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 54%
19 BOYNTON Ainsley 100% 98% 86% 56% 23% 5% -
20 CANSECO Carly 100% 100% 93% 67% 29% 5%
21 KONDEV Elizabeth 100% 100% 98% 86% 59% 25% 4%
22 WANG Callie 100% 100% 98% 83% 51% 18% 3%
23 FLATT Sophia 100% 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 5%
24 LI Alexis 100% 97% 80% 47% 17% 3% -
25 KURAEVA Vasilisa 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 10%
26 HU Anna 100% 99% 92% 71% 38% 11% 1%
27 WENG Amber 100% 99% 85% 46% 13% 2% -
28 ZENG Sarah 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 10%
29 DEHON Inès 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 12%
30 DAMBAL Sasha 100% 100% 91% 60% 23% 4%
31 ZHENG Valentina 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 4%
32 MYAT Chloe 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 5%
33 BAIREDDY Maya 100% 86% 51% 18% 3% - -
34 WANG Caroline 100% 98% 84% 51% 17% 2%
35 ZHANG Emily 100% 95% 71% 34% 9% 1%
36 KHOST Maeve 100% 100% 98% 85% 50% 15% 2%
37 BERNARD Kathryn 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 15% 2%
38 CHAN Madeleine V. 100% 95% 71% 36% 10% 1% -
39 HE Lizbeth 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 19%
40 ROOPRAI Amarjot 100% 100% 99% 88% 55% 18% 2%
41 LEE Alyson 100% 94% 68% 32% 9% 1% -
42 RANJAN Diya 100% 92% 62% 26% 6% -
43 CHAVAN Arya 100% 98% 87% 60% 26% 6% -
44 PRESANTH Nandana 100% 93% 65% 29% 7% 1% -
45 HAMMERSTROM Aria 100% 96% 78% 44% 15% 2% -
46 FAVO Isabella 100% 99% 80% 41% 11% 1%
47 CHANG Julia 100% 80% 42% 12% 2% -
48 FLEEGER Sophia 100% 12% 1% - - -
49 MCGRAW Sadie 100% 95% 72% 37% 11% 2% -
50 CARTER Keely 100% 95% 72% 37% 11% 2% -
51 PROBASCO Leila 100% 98% 84% 52% 20% 4% -
52 BAINS Nandini 100% 72% 30% 7% 1% - -
53 TA-ZHOU Emma 100% 80% 42% 13% 2% - -
54 CROMPTON Celine 100% 87% 54% 21% 5% 1% -
55 ROUIS Nina 100% 39% 7% 1% - - -
56 BRUNGARDT Gabriela 100% 69% 22% 3% - - -
57 CHI Claire 100% 94% 69% 34% 10% 2% -
58 CHO Kaeli M. 100% 90% 44% 11% 1% - -
58 CHEN Yuhan (Daisy) 100% 83% 47% 17% 3% - -
60 BARROSO Isabela 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% - -
61 FORTIN Emily 100% 66% 18% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.