Event Results

Junior Men's Saber

Fairfax Challenge SYC/RJCCSurprise Map

Sunday, May 15, 2022 at 2:00 PM Fredericksburg Expo & Conference Center · Fredericksburg, VA, USA

28 finishers

Difficulty Upsets Pool Heatmap Strength

Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.

#	Name	Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome		Pool Victories
#	Name	Pool	DE	Exp.	Act.	Diff.
1	JOHNSON Langston C.	V V V V V V	V V V V	5.0	6	+1.0
2	NAZLYMOV Andrei	V V V V V V	V V V D	5.2	6	+0.8
3	ZHANG Ethan W.	V V V V D V	V V V D	4.2	5	+0.8
3	AN Chihun	V V V D V V	V V V D	4.8	5	+0.2
5	MOL Spencer	V V D V V V	V D	3.9	5	+1.1
6	HONG Steven	V D V V V V	V D	4.4	5	+0.6
7	PASTORE LIU Vince	V V V D V D	V V D	3.3	4	+0.7
8	FERBER Oliver E.	V D D V V V	V V D	2.9	4	+1.1
9	CHAVES Matthew J.	V V V D V V	V D	4.6	5	+0.4
10	ZEWDA Kebron	D V V V D V	V D	3.5	4	+0.5
11	BROU Inkosi	V V D D V V	V D	4.1	4	-0.1
12	BALDWIN Michael B.	D V V V D V	V D	3.0	4	+1.0
13	DECK Tyson	V V D D D V	V D	1.7	3	+1.3
14	WU Richard	D D V D V V	V D	3.8	3	-0.8
15	THORNHILL Kwasi	D D V D V D	V D	3.6	2	-1.6
16	GAUVEY Kieran	D V D D D V	V D	3.0	2	-1.0
17	MOL Justin	V D V V D D	D	2.1	3	+0.9
18	VAUGHN Jason	D V D V V D	D	3.2	3	-0.2
19	CLARK Keagan	D V D D V V	D	3.4	3	-0.4
20	WALKE Devin	V D V D D D	D	2.3	2	-0.3
21	MARKOWITZ Jonathan	D V D V D D	D	2.4	2	-0.4
22	SHANKAR Karthik	D D D V D D	D	2.5	1	-1.5
23	COHEN Charlie	D D D V D D	D	1.0	1	-
24	MIKOW Dax	D D V D D D	D	2.3	1	-1.3
25	FARAON Paulus	D D D V D D	D	1.6	1	-0.6
26	FUHRIG Max	D D D D D D	D	1.2	0	-1.2
27	KUSANAGI Soshi	D D D D D D	D	0.4	0	-0.4
28	GRUNDY Patrick	D D D D D D	D	0.6	0	-0.6

Outcome	Difficulty	Win Probability
Victory	Very Hard	0% to 20%
Victory	Hard	20% to 40%
Victory	Roughly Even	40% to 60%
Victory	Easy	60% to 80%
Victory	Very Easy	80% to 100%
Defeat	Very Hard	0% to 20%
Defeat	Hard	20% to 40%
Defeat	Roughly Even	40% to 60%
Defeat	Easy	60% to 80%
Defeat	Very Easy	80% to 100%

The future of US Fencing is at stake!