Fairfax Challenge SYC/RJCC

Y-10 Men's Épée

Sunday, May 15, 2022 at 3:00 PM

Fredericksburg Expo & Conference Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MEHROTRA Neel 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 60% 16%
2 SINGLETON Aman 100% 100% 99% 96% 80% 48% 14%
3 DODIN Daniel M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 53%
3 YAO Tristan 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 31% 5%
5 YANG Gary 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 45% 12%
6 KROPP Wesley 100% 100% 97% 79% 31%
7 KIM Julian 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 20% 2%
8 CAFASSO Alexander 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 26% 2%
9 BOUDREAUX James 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 81%
10 ZHAI Junqi 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 66% 17%
11 LEE Anton 100% 100% 95% 73% 35% 7%
12 WANG Marcus 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 27% 4%
13 LUO Alexander 100% 99% 92% 71% 38% 12% 2%
14 KIM Henry 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 8%
15 DOAN Christopher 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 21% 2%
16 NOOL Alexander 100% 96% 76% 41% 12% 2% -
17 ELMARSAFI Nurideen 100% 100% 94% 72% 35% 8% -
18 SREBRIC-LAMPKIN Zoran 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 48%
19 TRUMBO Wyatt 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 21%
20 FONG Henry 100% 99% 90% 65% 32% 9% 1%
21 CARCELLER Jeremias 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 15% 2%
22 ZHOU Zhi Matthew 100% 100% 94% 72% 34% 7% -
23 YU Jeremy 100% 100% 96% 73% 27%
24 ROBERTS Arthur 100% 98% 83% 44% 11% 1% -
25 KONG Ethan 100% 99% 93% 67% 29% 6% -
26 MAZAHERI Fletcher 100% 94% 71% 38% 13% 2% -
27 DANILOV Artur 100% 100% 97% 80% 44% 13% 1%
28 LIU Alex 100% 99% 74% 34% 8% 1%
29 YAO Aiden 100% 99% 90% 66% 33% 9% 1%
30 NOOL Aaron 100% 96% 75% 40% 12% 2% -
31 BURHANAN Tangguh 100% 74% 28% 5% -
32 CHO Joshua 100% 99% 89% 64% 31% 8% 1%
33 YAKHNIS Seth 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 21%
34 MILLER Xavier 100% 94% 63% 15% 1%
35 ADDYSON Aidan 100% 96% 77% 39% 11% 1% -
36 YAO Ryan 100% 97% 82% 50% 18% 3% -
37 TAO Bryan 100% 100% 93% 68% 30% 6%
38 HUYNH Matthew 100% 86% 39% 7% 1% - -
39 YI Joshua 100% 90% 58% 23% 5% - -
40 SHAO Mason 100% 76% 33% 6% -
41 KANG Ihan 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 12%
42 MAZAHERI Theodore 100% 22% 2% - - -
43 JAHAN-PARVAR Dariush 100% 83% 41% 10% 1% - -
44 CRIDDLE Joshua 100% 99% 94% 76% 42% 13% 2%
45 ELMARSAFI Wissam 100% 63% 19% 2% - - -
45 CHANG Matthew 100% 88% 55% 21% 4% - -
47 CHIANG William 100% 94% 72% 38% 12% 2% -
48 ZHAO Brandon 100% 80% 36% 9% 1% - -
49 ZHANG Shuhao 100% 89% 54% 19% 4% - -
49 BANYAS Owen 100% 99% 83% 38% 5% - -
51 SMITH Noah 100% 72% 29% 6% 1% - -
52 YAO Irvine 100% 69% 26% 5% - - -
53 MA yuwei 100% 87% 53% 20% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.