Silicon Valley RYC/RCC

Y-14 Women's Foil

Saturday, April 9, 2022 at 1:00 PM

City Beach Fremont - Fremont, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	FUNG Emma	-	-	-	3%	19%	47%	31%
2	YANG Audrey	-	1%	8%	27%	37%	22%	4%
3	FUNG Vera	-	-	3%	14%	34%	36%	13%
3	KIM Rachel	-	-	1%	7%	28%	44%	20%
5	WANG Zoie Z.	-	-	-	3%	18%	42%	37%
6	MANIKTALA Prisha	-	-	-	4%	21%	44%	31%
7	ZHANG Eunice	-	-	1%	7%	25%	42%	25%
8	HSU Kaylin	-	5%	20%	34%	28%	11%	2%
9	DO Leila	-	1%	9%	25%	35%	24%	6%
10	SUN Chloe	-	-	-	3%	19%	47%	31%
11	HO Addison	-	1%	11%	30%	36%	18%	3%
12	OH Ceana	-	1%	11%	33%	37%	16%	2%
13	RAO Sonia D.	-	2%	14%	34%	36%	13%
14	PENG Charlotte	-	4%	17%	36%	31%	10%	1%
15	SWANSON Alexa	-	13%	34%	35%	15%	2%
16	CARVAJAL Sofia	2%	16%	39%	32%	10%	1%	-
17	BOLES Amanda X.	-	11%	33%	36%	17%	3%
18	HOBSON Ava	-	1%	10%	26%	35%	22%	6%
19	REN Kayley	-	1%	8%	29%	42%	18%	2%
20	LENK Sophie	1%	9%	27%	35%	21%	6%	1%
21	GUAN Adeline	-	1%	10%	29%	36%	19%	3%
22	MU Allison	-	4%	18%	33%	29%	13%	2%
23	LIPKOVITZ Rivka	-	1%	10%	30%	40%	19%
24	CHOI Kailyn	-	2%	12%	30%	35%	17%	3%
25	DENG Melissa	4%	20%	36%	28%	10%	2%	-
26	ZHENG Zoe	-	6%	28%	42%	21%	4%	-
27	WANG Celine S.	1%	14%	36%	34%	14%	2%
28	PENG Serena	-	1%	7%	22%	35%	27%	8%
29	ZHANG Ivy	6%	33%	39%	18%	4%	-	-
30	LUO Miranda	1%	17%	35%	31%	13%	3%	-
31	DANIELYANTS Gabriela	6%	26%	37%	23%	7%	1%	-
32	LIU Jessica	62%	32%	6%	-	-	-	-
33	DHARWADKAR Ovee	13%	39%	34%	11%	2%	-	-
34	YUEN Elsie	8%	31%	39%	18%	3%	-	-
35	ANDONIAN Lauren	14%	46%	31%	8%	1%	-	-
36	KIM Heeyoung	28%	43%	23%	5%	-	-	-
37	ZHANG Gwenyth	2%	17%	38%	30%	11%	2%	-
38	TUAN Sophie	86%	13%	1%	-	-	-	-
39	GOEL Riyana	31%	42%	21%	5%	1%	-	-
40	RUAN Lana	85%	14%	1%	-	-	-
41	GLESER Rowan	53%	38%	8%	1%	-	-	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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