New England Division - Div II/III/Vet Qualifiers

Div II Men's Saber

Sunday, March 20, 2022 at 4:00 PM

Boston Fencing Club - Boston, MA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KILGALLEN William 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 7%
2 GOLDMAN Noah R. 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 25%
3 KASPER Aaron 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 15%
3 PIWOWAR Alex 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 25%
5 SHAHZAD Azlan A. 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 37% 9%
6 ELIN Adam E. 100% 100% 98% 85% 50% 14%
7 HUANG Connor 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 9%
8 ZHUANG Rayken 100% 100% 93% 64% 25% 4%
9 MUNGOVAN Matthew 100% 97% 76% 29% 4% -
10 BONDARENCO Vlad 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 8%
11 WEN Edward 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 10% -
12 KAPOOR Tanmay 100% 96% 76% 43% 15% 3% -
13 BAE Jason I. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 47%
14 BROOK Joel 100% 83% 42% 11% 2% -
15 HUROWITZ Max 100% 100% 98% 87% 61% 27% 5%
16 MCMAHON Chris J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 47%
17 BRIGGS Gavin 100% 95% 70% 32% 8% 1% -
18 LI Yao (Liam) 100% 97% 80% 45% 15% 2% -
19 TAUER Sam 100% 67% 26% 5% 1% - -
20 STEVENSON David 100% 97% 77% 39% 11% 1% -
21 PERRON Robert 100% 96% 77% 41% 12% 1%
22 PODDAR Shameek 100% 85% 44% 10% 1% -
23 BELEV Nicholas 100% 99% 90% 59% 22% 3%
24 HORAN Daniel J. 100% 99% 84% 48% 14% 2%
25 KEIPER Benjamin 100% 43% 7% - - -
26 MONTOYA Christian 100% 96% 72% 31% 6% -
27 BROGAN Kevin 100% 96% 75% 38% 11% 1%
28 LIN Kelvin 100% 96% 73% 36% 10% 1% -
29 MATERDEY Alexander 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 8% 1%
30 JOHNSON Colin 100% 89% 51% 15% 2% -
31 HSU Aiden 100% 77% 32% 5% - -
32 LAI Aedin 100% 96% 76% 42% 13% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.