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The Cascade Clash | Portland SYC

Y-14 Women's Foil

Saturday, February 26, 2022 at 8:00 AM

Northwest Fencing Center - Beaverton, OR, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Birth Year

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	GOOR Viviene E.	-	-	-	2%	17%	48%	34%
2	MANIKTALA Prisha	-	-	3%	14%	35%	37%	12%
3	ZHUANG Christina	-	1%	8%	26%	37%	22%	5%
3	STRUGAR Steliana	-	-	3%	19%	45%	28%	5%
5	LIPKOVITZ Rivka	-	1%	7%	21%	34%	28%	9%
6	CHEN Chloe I.	-	-	-	2%	12%	39%	48%
7	CASTANEDA Keira	-	1%	6%	24%	44%	25%
8	GU Maggie Runlin	-	-	-	5%	25%	45%	24%
9	ZHANG Selena	2%	12%	28%	34%	20%	5%
10	DAVIS Logan	-	4%	19%	35%	30%	11%	1%
11	HAYES Nadia	-	-	1%	6%	24%	42%	27%
12	HAN Crystal	-	1%	7%	26%	44%	23%
13	HAN Ashley	-	1%	7%	23%	37%	27%	5%
14	REN Kayley	3%	18%	37%	31%	10%	1%
15	YAN Noelle	1%	7%	21%	35%	28%	9%
16	NAIR Supriya	-	4%	16%	31%	32%	15%	2%
17	SAIFEE Lamya	13%	37%	34%	13%	2%	-
18	HAFEZ Tahiyah	6%	22%	34%	27%	10%	1%
19	BEAVER Ava	1%	10%	25%	33%	22%	8%	1%
20	LENK Sophie	6%	27%	38%	22%	6%	1%	-
21	HSU Kaylin	2%	12%	28%	32%	20%	6%	1%
22	FETECAU Ilinca	1%	5%	17%	30%	29%	15%	3%
23	DENG Melissa	8%	30%	36%	20%	5%	1%	-
24	LIU Emily	33%	45%	19%	3%	-	-	-
25	HO Addison	3%	14%	31%	32%	17%	3%
26	YANG Audrey	1%	6%	22%	36%	27%	8%	1%
27	PENG Charlotte	1%	8%	25%	35%	24%	7%	1%
28	CUI alivia	5%	23%	35%	26%	10%	2%	-
29	LUO Miranda	7%	24%	35%	25%	9%	1%
30	ZHENG Zoe	1%	10%	34%	40%	14%	2%	-
31	XU Bonnie Jia Li	5%	21%	33%	26%	11%	2%	-
32	DESERANNO Seren	10%	34%	36%	16%	3%	-	-
33	KRYLTSOVA Eva	26%	49%	22%	3%	-	-	-
34	FENG Grace	4%	18%	33%	29%	13%	2%
35	HOVAGHIMIAN Fira	3%	17%	36%	32%	11%	1%
36	BROWN Lola	2%	17%	42%	31%	7%	1%	-
37	LIU Grace	34%	42%	19%	4%	-	-	-
38	NIRGUDE Esha	1%	12%	31%	34%	17%	4%	-
39	DESAI Esha	27%	43%	24%	6%	1%	-
40	PIQUETTE Annika	28%	43%	23%	6%	1%	-	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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