Event Results
Arnold Fencing ClassicSurprise Map
Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | O'BRIEN Jack K. | D V V V | V V V V | 3.1 | 3 | -0.1 |
| 2 | HAINES Ethan | V V V V | V V V D | 3.3 | 4 | +0.7 |
| 3 | CHITU Julian S. | D D V V V | V V D | 2.4 | 3 | +0.6 |
| 3 | MAHDI Mahdi | V V V V D | V V D | 3.4 | 4 | +0.6 |
| 5 | WHITE-ROY Nolan | D V V V V | V D | 3.2 | 4 | +0.8 |
| 6 | RINEHART Conner M. | V V V D V | V D | 4.0 | 4 | - |
| 7 | DERBAUM Brandon A. | V D V V V | V D | 2.9 | 4 | +1.1 |
| 8 | GISLER Benjamin B. | V V V D D | V D | 1.9 | 3 | +1.1 |
| 9 | OBERYSZYN Evan | D V D V V | D | 2.5 | 3 | +0.5 |
| 10 | ANGLIN Benjamin | V V D D D | D | 1.8 | 2 | +0.2 |
| 11 | UPTON Craig | V D D D | D | 0.7 | 1 | +0.3 |
| 12 | DITTEL Aaron K. | D D D V | D | 1.1 | 1 | -0.1 |
| 13 | AGUADO Gianmarco | D V D D | D | 1.7 | 1 | -0.7 |
| 14 | MILTENBERGER Jon | V D D D D | D | 2.8 | 1 | -1.8 |
| 15 | KEARNEY Matthew | D D D D V | D | 1.9 | 1 | -0.9 |
| 16 | BOLD Timothy | D D D V D | V D | 1.6 | 1 | -0.6 |
| 17 | CLOUTIER Aiden | D D D D D | D | 1.5 | 0 | -1.5 |
| Color | Outcome | Difficulty | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |