Event Results
TFC's March 2022 Fence-a-thon and ObservationalSurprise Map
Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | KIBBAR Tomer L. | V V V V | V V V | 3.3 | 4 | +0.7 |
| 2 | SUORSA Markus | V V V V | V V V D | 3.5 | 4 | +0.5 |
| 3 | DAVIS Jayna M. | D V V V | V V D | 2.2 | 3 | +0.8 |
| 3 | XIONG Haojiao | V V V D | V V D | 2.3 | 3 | +0.7 |
| 5 | SOUTHWORTH Nathaniel | D V V D | V D | 3.0 | 2 | -1.0 |
| 6 | BAILEY Nate | V D V D | V D | 2.8 | 2 | -0.8 |
| 7 | MULAGARI Sadhika | D D V V | V D | 2.1 | 2 | -0.1 |
| 8 | LI Seth | V D D D | V D | 1.4 | 1 | -0.4 |
| 9 | VANKIRK Avery | V V D V | D | 1.6 | 3 | +1.4 |
| 10 | MARTINEZ Mario D. | V V D D | D | 1.7 | 2 | +0.3 |
| 11 | UYANIK Muhammet | V D V D | D | 2.0 | 2 | - |
| 12 | IYER Arushi | D D V D | D | 1.9 | 1 | -0.9 |
| 13 | REGANTI Sitara | D D D V | D | 0.8 | 1 | +0.2 |
| 14 | BAVIPATI Smira | D D D D | D | 0.9 | 0 | -0.9 |
| 15 | LAZZARINO Kylie | D D D D | D | 0.5 | 0 | -0.5 |
| Color | Outcome | Difficulty | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |