Division I and Parafencing Nat'l Championships & April NAC

Div I Women's Foil

Friday, April 22, 2022 at 1:00 PM

Charlotte, NC, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SCRUGGS Lauren S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 63%
2 RHODES Zander 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 50%
3 TIEU May L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 48%
3 QIAN Crystal 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 9%
5 PARTRIDGE Morgan K. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 15%
6 FERRARI Christina M. 100% 100% 98% 88% 56% 16%
7 WANG Ellen 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 19% 2%
8 CHENG Evelyn 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 22%
9 TAFFEL sara 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 34%
10 KIM Rachael 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 36% 8%
11 BREKER Anika 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 11%
12 KIM Katherine 100% 97% 80% 47% 17% 3% -
13 ZHANG Alina C. 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 14% 2%
14 CASTANEDA Erika L. 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 8% 1%
15 APELIAN Katherine 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 25% 3%
16 LIU Jaelyn A. 100% 99% 89% 61% 27% 6% -
17 DESCHNER Stefani K. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 49%
18 ZHENG Ivy 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 28% 5%
19 BINDER Sylvie A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 54%
20 KONG Chin-Yi 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 8%
21 LUNG Katerina 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 25%
22 PEVZNER Victoria 100% 99% 91% 65% 30% 7% 1%
23 XUE Alanna L. 100% 93% 66% 30% 7% 1% -
24 KOENIG Charlotte R. 100% 97% 81% 46% 14% 2%
25 LEE Brianna J. 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 10%
26 ZHENG Vivian 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
27 CHO Sabrina N. 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 29%
28 FREEDMAN Miranda W. 100% 96% 76% 38% 10% 1%
29 HO Brianna W. 100% 100% 98% 88% 63% 28% 6%
30 TAN Kaitlyn N. 100% 98% 85% 51% 17% 2% -
31 CAO Arianna L. 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 8%
32 OH Erin H. 100% 97% 76% 40% 12% 2% -
33 NOTT Adrienne (Adi) M. 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 22%
34 BLOW Iman (Mani) A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 41%
35 NEWHARD Zelia "Zizi" 100% 97% 80% 45% 15% 2% -
36 STAMOS Maria 100% 100% 99% 90% 66% 29% 5%
37 HORSLEY Asherah 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 39% 7%
38 MILLER Naomi E. 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1%
39 SARTORI Taylor M. 100% 89% 56% 22% 5% -
40 HE Elizabeth W. 100% 100% 99% 95% 73% 30%
41 CHUSID Mikayla 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 16% 1%
42 LEE Annora Y. 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 27% 4%
43 LEE Alina 100% 100% 99% 88% 58% 19% 2%
44 KNIGHT Skylar 100% 100% 98% 83% 47% 13% 1%
45 LEE Allison (Allie) 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 23% 3%
46 GRIFFIN Emma G. 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 9%
47 SHEN Sophia H. 100% 97% 79% 45% 15% 2%
48 DE LA CRUZ Eden 100% 65% 23% 5% - -
49 KOO Rachel A. 100% 99% 89% 62% 26% 5%
50 REN Olivia Y. 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 3%
51 PENG Amber L. 100% 78% 39% 11% 2% -
52 CHO Cameron S. 100% 97% 79% 46% 16% 3% -
53 SENIC Adeline 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 4% -
54 JING Emily 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 29% 4%
55 EYER Hailey M. 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 11% 1%
56 GEBALA Gabrielle Grace A. 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 5%
57 JO Mia C. 100% 93% 68% 32% 8% 1%
58 GONG Christina S. 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 7%
59 SOOD Ishani S. 100% 96% 78% 44% 14% 2%
60 LOCKE Savannah 100% 91% 62% 26% 6% 1%
61 LESLIE Ryanne T. 100% 100% 95% 78% 44% 11%
62 CHEN Allison V. 100% 92% 65% 29% 7% 1%
63 JING Alexandra 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 38% 7%
64 LI Grace Q. 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 9% 1%
65 SUN Ruoxi 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 2% -
66 HOOSHI Erica S. 100% 99% 93% 69% 33% 7%
67 KOROL Neta 100% 87% 51% 17% 3% -
68 CHO Rebecca H. 100% 86% 50% 16% 3% -
69 PARK Rowan M. 100% 98% 84% 52% 17% 2%
70 JANG Kimberley 100% 95% 73% 36% 10% 1%
71 DEBACK Greta I. 100% 85% 50% 17% 3% -
72 OUYANG Bridgette Z. 100% 93% 64% 26% 5% -
73 SEO IRENE Y. 100% 87% 51% 17% 3% - -
74 LI Phoebe J. 100% 99% 89% 58% 21% 3% -
75 WU Julianna Y. 100% 91% 60% 23% 5% - -
76 SHEN Lydia 100% 99% 93% 72% 39% 12% 2%
77 SEAL Julie T. 100% 97% 77% 42% 13% 2% -
78 ORVANANOS Anice 100% 69% 28% 6% 1% - -
79 KONG Olivia 100% 93% 64% 25% 5% - -
80 SHENG Chuxi 100% 72% 28% 5% - - -
81 RANDOLPH Piper 100% 85% 49% 17% 3% - -
82 CHO Gracie L. 100% 91% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
83 ZHAO Aileen Y. 100% 82% 42% 12% 2% - -
84 CHEN Jia P. 100% 94% 67% 30% 7% 1%
85 CONWAY Josephina (JoJo) J. 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 12%
86 WEBB Ella 100% 71% 30% 7% 1% - -
87 KHOO Lauren A. 100% 94% 70% 35% 10% 1% -
88 SHAW Kayla M. 100% 97% 79% 45% 15% 2% -
89 SEAL Grace (Gracie) C. 100% 96% 77% 41% 13% 2% -
90 PAHLAVI Dahlia 100% 91% 59% 23% 5% - -
91 CHEN Chloe I. 100% 82% 40% 10% 1% - -
92 TALWALKAR Apoorva 100% 72% 30% 7% 1% - -
93 ROY Layla 100% 63% 19% 3% - - -
94 GU EMILY 100% 52% 14% 2% - - -
95 GALAVOTTI Claire Teresa 100% 97% 80% 44% 14% 2% -
96 LI Rachel Y. 100% 91% 60% 23% 4% -
97 YU Lauren C. 100% 69% 26% 5% - -
98 WALKER Mayah J. 100% 86% 51% 18% 3% - -
99 BATRA Chaahat 100% 85% 44% 12% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.