Division I and Parafencing Nat'l Championships & April NAC

Junior Men's Saber

Saturday, April 23, 2022 at 8:00 AM

Charlotte, NC, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SILBERZWEIG Jordan H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 66%
2 JIANG Anthony 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 16%
3 JI Cody Walter 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 39%
3 MORRILL William 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 39%
5 LIANG Connor 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 41%
6 SOHN Kevin J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 34%
7 LIMB Matthew G. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 59%
8 BERRIO Carter E. 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 12% 1%
9 LILOV Neil 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 44%
10 RAI Avin 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 39%
11 LEE Justin 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 11%
12 YANG Ziyi 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 37% 7%
13 HJERPE Wade H. 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 12%
14 DENNER Lysander H. 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 48%
15 XU William 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 17%
16 BAE Jason I. 100% 97% 77% 40% 11% 1%
17 LUKASHENKO Darii 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 48%
18 CHOI HYUNSEOK 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 63%
19 FERNANDEZ Rodrigo 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 27%
20 YOUNG Nash 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 17%
21 WOOD Elden S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 51%
21 FRISHMAN Ethan J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 35%
21 KIM Shaun M. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 16%
24 HUANG Ethan F. 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 28% 5%
25 BUERGENTHAL Aaron P. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 51% 12%
26 BERMAN Luca 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 42% 11%
27 LO Joshua H. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 31%
28 HONG Vincent Q. 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 10%
29 HAMMERSTROM Jared 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 33%
30 BARBER William S. 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 20%
31 LEE Aydan J. 100% 97% 82% 48% 15% 2%
32 HAN William 100% 86% 52% 20% 4% - -
33 SO Hananiah 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 50%
34 CHAVES Matthew J. 100% 99% 89% 61% 27% 6% 1%
35 BOLTON Braydon A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 51%
36 DODRILL Grant 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 33%
37 LIU kelly 100% 100% 97% 77% 32% 5%
38 DHINGRA Gian K. 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 37%
38 CHAN Matthew 100% 100% 99% 90% 58% 18%
40 GEFELL Andrew P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 36%
41 NIL Michael Y. 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 31% 4%
42 CALLAHAN Jaden P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 38%
43 LIM William J. 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 16% 2%
44 TAO Jeffrey 100% 99% 93% 69% 34% 8% 1%
45 CZYZEWSKI Konrad R. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 15%
46 HOLZ William A. 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 18% 3%
47 LAI Adam J. 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 38%
47 YUN Jaesun 100% 100% 100% 97% 75% 24%
49 KIM Avery J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 47%
49 GONZALEZ Emilio A. 100% 99% 93% 70% 32% 6%
51 CHON Taylor A. 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 16%
52 DENNER Maximilian P. 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 25% 4%
53 WOODWARD Connor 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4%
54 LINSKY Matthew 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 31%
55 FREYRE DE ANDRADE Elian R. 100% 100% 97% 84% 56% 23% 4%
56 CHOI Silas 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 29% 5%
57 AVAKIAN Alec 100% 99% 94% 76% 42% 13% 2%
58 FLOT Tai A. 100% 99% 94% 76% 43% 14% 2%
59 SAKHAMURI Surya 100% 100% 100% 96% 72% 23%
60 YANG Duncan (BoTong) 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 11%
61 XU Luke 100% 99% 92% 67% 29% 4%
62 HOLZ Daniel 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 24% 4%
63 ZHENG Edward L. 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 12% 1%
64 CHEONG Heonjun 100% 96% 76% 39% 10% 1%
65 YUN Jake 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 6%
66 DENG Andrew 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 30% 5%
67 ZHU Charlie 100% 94% 71% 36% 11% 2% < 1%
68 JOHNSON Langston C. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 18%
69 NAZLYMOV Andrei 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 4%
70 WU Mengke 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 28%
71 XU Andrew 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 19% 3%
72 JEFFORDS Alexander 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 29%
73 XUE ALEXANDER 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 18% 2%
74 GHENEA George Philipe 100% 100% 94% 71% 35% 9% 1%
75 HONG Steven 100% 100% 92% 57% 15% 1%
76 PANDEY Neil 100% 99% 91% 61% 21% 2%
77 MAKLIN Edward P. 100% 100% 98% 86% 51% 16% 2%
78 ZHANG Derek 100% 100% 94% 74% 40% 12% 1%
79 GHAYALOD ansh 100% 100% 99% 93% 65% 25% 4%
80 DU Gavin J. 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 25% 4%
81 JINICH Ilan R. 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 26% 4%
81 STONE Esmond A. 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 8% 1%
83 BOUKHTIN Maxim 100% 95% 70% 33% 9% 1% -
84 CADAMBI Roshan 100% 99% 94% 73% 38% 11% 1%
85 BULL Anderson 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 21% 3%
86 MARGULIES William 100% 100% 96% 82% 53% 21% 4%
87 FENG Leo 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 32% 4%
88 HOUTZ Jackson 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 14% 1%
89 BABAYEV Gabriel A. 100% 100% 98% 81% 44% 10%
90 TONG ZACHARY 100% 100% 96% 79% 42% 9%
91 ERMAKOV Lev 100% 100% 98% 83% 45% 11%
92 BUCHMANN Finn D. 100% 98% 86% 53% 18% 2%
93 PATIL Aaryan A. 100% 99% 89% 59% 22% 3%
94 HAN Daniel Y. 100% 100% 95% 71% 30% 4%
94 LO Alexander 100% 95% 70% 33% 8% 1%
96 OH Triton 100% 97% 78% 43% 13% 2%
97 ZENG Noah 100% 94% 69% 31% 7% 1%
98 SCHERER Max 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4% -
99 ROBINSON William 100% 95% 73% 37% 11% 2% -
100 SIMAK Joseph P. 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 9%
101 REN Richard 100% 99% 90% 63% 28% 7% 1%
102 SHOMAN Zachary 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 25% 4%
103 DOLAN Charles R. 100% 99% 87% 55% 22% 5% -
104 COLE Alexander 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 5% -
105 PRIMUS Nazir 100% 100% 95% 74% 37% 10% 1%
106 NG Jeremiah 100% 99% 89% 60% 25% 5% -
107 CHEONG Heonjae 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 14% 2%
108 LIN Daniel 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 22% 4%
108 ZHOU Matthew R. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 31%
110 ZHOU Justin 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 13%
111 YANG Dylan 100% 96% 78% 44% 15% 2% -
112 QIU Nathan 100% 99% 94% 73% 38% 10% 1%
113 KIM Matthew 100% 95% 74% 39% 11% 1%
114 LINDHOLM Oliver S. 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1%
115 KROON Lucas 100% 94% 64% 20% 2% -
116 KUSHKOV Veniamin 100% 93% 68% 32% 8% 1%
117 WANG Robert 100% 99% 88% 61% 26% 6% -
118 ZHANG Jeffrey 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 6% -
119 BROU Inkosi 100% 96% 73% 36% 10% 1% -
120 FERNANDEZ Liam 100% 87% 54% 22% 5% 1% -
121 NARANJO David E. 100% 97% 79% 45% 15% 3% -
122 SU Landon 100% 94% 70% 35% 11% 2% -
123 STURN Oliver 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 9% 1%
124 MAY Griffin M. 100% 95% 70% 32% 8% 1% -
125 MURZYN III CJ 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 8% 1%
126 SHAHZAD Azlan A. 100% 94% 67% 29% 6% 1% -
127 GUAN Luke 100% 98% 82% 48% 16% 3% -
128 BAUER Hank E. 100% 87% 52% 18% 3% -
129 WANG Eric Y. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 13%
130 WONG Ryan 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 10% 1%
131 HAN Edward 100% 93% 66% 30% 8% 1% -
132 BONSELL Vance 100% 92% 65% 29% 7% 1% -
133 KIM Alexander M. 100% 100% 99% 88% 59% 22% 3%
134 ATANASSOV Vasil V. 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 23% 3%
135 HOPPA Luke H. 100% 98% 84% 51% 17% 3% -
136 SANDERS Samuel B. 100% 99% 86% 48% 13% 1%
137 KAYDALIN Artyom 100% 100% 99% 90% 58% 14%
138 LUO George F. 100% 100% 94% 67% 27% 5%
139 ZHUANG Rayken 100% 81% 40% 10% 1% -
140 MICLAUS Justin 100% 99% 89% 62% 26% 5%
141 ZHU Yuchen (Kevin) 100% 76% 35% 9% 1% -
142 CHIN Matthew W. 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 36% 8%
143 ROSBERG Dashiell W. 100% 100% 96% 82% 53% 21% 4%
143 CHAUDHURI Eeshaan A. 100% 99% 92% 67% 29% 6% -
145 POPE Nico 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 30% 5%
146 SHIRPAL Oleksandr 100% 100% 99% 88% 59% 22% 3%
147 DELARUE NELSON Y. 100% 100% 94% 74% 37% 9% 1%
148 MCCARTHY Gabriel 100% 99% 89% 63% 30% 7% 1%
149 BERGER Oliver 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 25%
150 GOLD Jackson 100% 91% 62% 26% 6% 1% -
151 CHEN Evan P. 100% 99% 90% 63% 28% 6% -
151 SILVA Daniel 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 21% 3%
153 SHOMAN Noah 100% 100% 98% 84% 47% 13% 1%
154 SCHARDINE James 100% 98% 82% 48% 17% 3% -
155 RASMUSSEN Alexzander C. 100% 98% 82% 46% 14% 2% -
156 YOU Jaden 100% 97% 76% 36% 9% 1% -
157 CRAIG Samuel 100% 94% 72% 38% 13% 2% -
158 KIM-COGAN Ryan 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 43% 9%
159 DEKA Tanush 100% 93% 48% 11% 1% -
160 BEITEL Noah 100% 98% 81% 47% 16% 2%
161 SWORDS Evan F. 100% 100% 96% 76% 35% 5%
162 LU Caleb Q. 100% 89% 57% 22% 5% -
163 NOBLE Colin 100% 99% 93% 69% 31% 6%
164 LIU Mingyang Ryan 100% 96% 73% 35% 8% 1%
165 DEPEW Spencer 100% 95% 59% 18% 3% -
166 ZHOU Miles 100% 100% 94% 75% 40% 12% 1%
167 ARDOIN Cameron 100% 99% 93% 69% 34% 9% 1%
168 ZHANG Ethan W. 100% 91% 60% 23% 4% - -
169 FIELDS Matthew S. 100% 97% 80% 46% 16% 3% -
170 RESHEIDAT Malik 100% 99% 90% 65% 31% 8% 1%
171 PAN Alex 100% 91% 61% 26% 6% 1% -
172 PIWOWAR Alex 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 3% -
173 ZHOU James Y. 100% 62% 20% 3% - - -
174 CHENG Kyle 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 2% -
175 VOSS Jeffer 100% 78% 37% 9% 1% - -
176 THORNHILL Kwasi 100% 98% 87% 59% 26% 6% 1%
177 GREENBAUM Ian L. 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 11% 1%
178 HUANG Connor 100% 97% 68% 29% 7% 1% -
179 TANN Justin 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 36% 8%
180 LANNAMAN Connor 100% 88% 46% 11% 1% - -
181 BALDWIN Michael B. 100% 95% 69% 26% 5% - -
182 BONN-ELCHONESS Peter 100% 75% 33% 8% 1% - -
183 HONG Rubin 100% 98% 86% 56% 23% 5% -
184 KESSLER Josh 100% 77% 33% 7% 1% - -
184 RAMANAN Govind 100% 90% 49% 13% 2% - -
186 WONG James T. 100% 91% 60% 24% 5% 1% -
187 TANG Anzheng 100% 94% 72% 38% 12% 2% -
188 CHENG Hong 100% 59% 18% 3% - - -
189 HU Christopher 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1%
190 LUHAN Zachary 100% 60% 16% 2% - -
191 SINGH Angadh 100% 99% 83% 38% 6% -
192 KILGALLEN William 100% 94% 68% 29% 6% -
193 FORT David 100% 75% 34% 8% 1% -
194 RIGHTLER Samuel 100% 98% 84% 51% 16% 2%
195 LEE Noah 100% 85% 46% 12% 1% -
196 CLARK Keagan 100% 64% 22% 4% - -
197 LIU Lawrence 100% 91% 59% 22% 4% -
198 ANDERSON William 100% 18% 1% - - -
199 PENG Bryan 100% 87% 53% 19% 3% -
200 KUMAR Sachit 100% 96% 76% 39% 11% 1% -
201 MIYASAKI-CASTRO Masanobu 100% 100% 91% 64% 29% 7% 1%
202 SUPLICO Enrico Lucio 100% 89% 59% 26% 7% 1% -
203 WANG Nicolas 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 4% -
204 CHAN Aidan 100% 79% 39% 11% 2% - -
205 LEONARD Charles 100% 88% 53% 18% 3% - -
206 LIPPMAN Eli 100% 86% 51% 18% 3% - -
207 PI Alexander 100% 95% 65% 26% 5% 1% -
208 BERA Enzo 100% 94% 69% 34% 10% 1% -
209 GINSBERG jordan 100% 96% 70% 26% 5% - -
210 BOSITA Carson 100% 84% 49% 17% 3% - -
211 CAISSE Simon B. 100% 88% 56% 22% 5% 1% -
212 SUGIURA Samuel 100% 90% 60% 26% 7% 1% -
213 ZHANG Yupeng 100% 64% 22% 4% - - -
214 BYON Adrian 100% 92% 66% 32% 9% 1% -
215 SAVOY Luca 100% 97% 77% 40% 11% 1% -
216 CHTERENTAL Alex 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 5% -
217 SHANKAR Karthik 100% 85% 48% 16% 3% - -
217 MOULTON Ian 100% 64% 21% 4% - - -
219 JAIN Aniket 100% 59% 19% 3% - -
219 LIN Steve 100% 87% 50% 15% 2% -
221 KAPOOR Tanmay 100% 45% 10% 1% - - -
222 NOURELDIN Gabriel 100% 92% 62% 25% 5% -
222 FARIDI Imran 100% 23% 2% - - -
224 BYON Julian 100% 73% 32% 8% 1% - -
225 SMINK Oliver 100% 60% 19% 3% - -
226 GAO Marcus 100% 75% 32% 7% 1% - -
226 TAUER Sam 100% 46% 9% 1% - - -
228 GAO Albert 100% 98% 84% 51% 18% 3% -
228 LEITH Jack 100% 94% 70% 35% 11% 2% -
230 MCCARTHY Devan 100% 62% 21% 4% - - -
231 JAYASANKAR Hari 100% 81% 33% 5% - -
232 RAMANAN Jaisimh 100% 95% 46% 11% 1% -
233 DECK Tyson 100% 50% 11% 1% - - -
233 BELL III Alfred (Tripp) R. 100% 77% 33% 7% 1% - -
233 VELTZ Tyler J. 100% 27% 3% - - - -
236 WEBER Mattias A. 100% 92% 62% 25% 5% 1% -
237 OLARIO Raphael 100% 25% 2% - - -
238 GOLD Carter 100% 84% 47% 16% 3% - -
239 SUN Ziyao 100% 40% 7% 1% - - -
240 PARK Caleb 100% 20% 1% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.