Division I and Parafencing Nat'l Championships & April NAC

Junior Women's Foil

Saturday, April 23, 2022 at 2:00 PM

Charlotte, NC, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 GUO Jessica Zi Jia 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 93%
2 LUNG Katerina 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 58%
3 QIAN Crystal 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 35%
3 CHEN Jia P. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 16%
5 WANG Ellen 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 41%
6 LEE Alina 100% 100% 100% 99% 84% 39%
7 JING Emily 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 40%
8 GEBALA Gabrielle Grace A. 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 17%
9 FANG Sabrina 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 60%
10 PARK Rowan M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 16%
11 SHEN Sophia H. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 24%
12 LESLIE Ryanne T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 52%
13 ZHANG Alina C. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 16%
14 KIM Rachael 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 38%
15 PEVZNER Victoria 100% 100% 100% 94% 57% 13%
16 SOOD Ishani S. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 54% 12%
17 HE Elizabeth W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 55%
18 GRIFFIN Emma G. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 31%
19 JING Alexandra 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 68% 22%
20 CAO Arianna L. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 27%
21 PETROVA Kristina 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 54%
22 KOROL Neta 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 20% 3%
23 ZHENG Ivy 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 40%
23 TAN Kaitlyn N. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 18%
25 JANG Kimberley 100% 100% 100% 99% 86% 48% 8%
26 LEE Allison (Allie) 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 44%
27 SHAW Kayla M. 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 22% 2%
28 LEE Brianna J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 31%
29 LIU Jaelyn A. 100% 100% 100% 94% 67% 16%
30 CHUSID Mikayla 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 31%
31 LEE Lavender 100% 99% 86% 53% 18% 3% -
32 FEDELI Caterina S. 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 14%
33 CHEN Allison V. 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 41% 7%
34 KOENIG Charlotte R. 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 16%
34 OH Erin H. 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 10%
34 CHEN Jessie S. 100% 100% 100% 98% 80% 33%
37 CASTANEDA Erika L. 100% 100% 99% 92% 60% 17%
38 BATRA Chaahat 100% 100% 95% 78% 43% 12% 1%
39 APELIAN Katherine 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 44%
40 LOCKE Savannah 100% 100% 100% 94% 73% 34% 6%
41 ZHENG Vivian 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 69% 23%
42 XUE Alanna L. 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 41% 8%
43 FREEDMAN Miranda W. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 17%
44 ZHAO Sophie L. 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 33% 5%
45 KNIGHT Skylar 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 22%
46 KOO Rachel A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 26%
47 SEO IRENE Y. 100% 100% 95% 70% 30% 5% -
48 CONWAY Josephina (JoJo) J. 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 33%
49 KONG Chin-Yi 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 41%
50 YU Lauren C. 100% 100% 98% 84% 51% 15% 2%
51 RANDOLPH Piper 100% 100% 100% 92% 63% 23% 3%
52 NEWHARD Zelia "Zizi" 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 34% 6%
53 HOOSHI Erica S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 59% 16%
54 EYER Hailey M. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 12%
55 GALAVOTTI Claire Teresa 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 40% 2%
56 TALAVERA Daena 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 50% 12%
57 REN Olivia Y. 100% 100% 100% 95% 61% 16%
58 HALL Velma 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 15%
59 LIU Joy Zhaoyi 100% 100% 100% 98% 79% 31%
60 KONG Olivia 100% 97% 81% 45% 13% 2%
61 SHEN Lydia 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 12%
62 CHO Cameron S. 100% 100% 100% 96% 73% 29% 3%
63 MILLER Naomi E. 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 24% 3%
64 WANDJI Anais 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 20% 3%
65 SENIC Adeline 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 60% 17%
66 CHENG Evelyn 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 55%
67 LEE Ji Ahn 100% 88% 55% 20% 4% < 1% -
68 DE LA CRUZ Eden 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 24% 3%
69 JO Mia C. 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 20%
70 ZHAO Aileen Y. 100% 100% 96% 73% 27% 3%
71 LI Grace Q. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 18%
72 KIM Katherine 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 16%
73 LUO Sandra J. 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 11% 1%
74 FUNG Emma 100% 99% 87% 54% 19% 3% -
75 CHO Gracie L. 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 24% 4%
76 HO Brianna W. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 22%
77 LI Rachel Y. 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 24% 3%
78 KHOO Lauren A. 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 31% 6%
79 MI Aileen 100% 100% 93% 68% 30% 6% -
80 PENG Amber L. 100% 100% 97% 82% 45% 10% 1%
81 GU EMILY 100% 100% 95% 67% 24% 3% -
82 SHIM Grace 100% 99% 87% 47% 13% 2% -
83 CHEW Alexis T. 100% 97% 75% 28% 5% -
84 SUN Ruoxi 100% 100% 100% 96% 69% 26% 3%
85 DAVIS Bonnie Z. 100% 100% 96% 74% 34% 6% -
86 LIAO Lu Jia (Lucy) 100% 100% 96% 73% 35% 8% 1%
87 GOOR Viviene E. 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 12% 1%
87 ORVANANOS Anice 100% 100% 96% 71% 30% 6% -
89 DU Hannah 100% 99% 86% 52% 18% 3% -
90 SHITAMOTO Audrey F. 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 9% 1%
90 OUYANG Bridgette Z. 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 28% 5%
92 COOPER Piper W. 100% 96% 72% 29% 6% - -
93 COSTELLO Angeline S. 100% 100% 99% 91% 54% 16% 2%
93 SHENG Chuxi 100% 98% 81% 44% 12% 2% -
95 ROY Layla 100% 100% 91% 54% 12% 1% -
96 ASCHETTINO Aurora 100% 88% 53% 19% 4% - -
97 PAHLAVI Dahlia 100% 100% 98% 85% 48% 14% 1%
98 WU Julianna Y. 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 14% 1%
99 TALWALKAR Apoorva 100% 100% 93% 65% 26% 5% -
100 XIANG Emma 100% 93% 63% 25% 5% - -
101 MORADI Raiyan N. 100% 95% 70% 32% 8% 1% -
101 KOROL Dana 100% 99% 91% 65% 27% 5% -
103 SARTORI Taylor M. 100% 100% 99% 93% 65% 26% 4%
104 MI Anning 100% 92% 63% 25% 5% - -
105 KANG Jiyoon 100% 96% 62% 21% 3% - -
106 DRAGNE Alexis D. 100% 98% 80% 43% 12% 2% -
107 DEBACK Greta I. 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 23% 3%
108 ZHANG Eunice 100% 100% 59% 16% 1% -
109 FERNANDES Thea 100% 100% 89% 27% 3% -
110 HE Fenghuan 100% 100% 98% 85% 45% 9%
111 WEBB Ella 100% 100% 82% 35% 6% -
112 CHEN Chloe I. 100% 100% 93% 66% 27% 4% -
113 CANNON Lira J. 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 5% -
114 FU Qihan 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 7% 1%
115 BRADFORD Meeah 100% 100% 99% 89% 55% 18% 2%
116 CHO Rebecca H. 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 35% 6%
117 CHOW Annabelle 100% 99% 88% 57% 20% 3% -
118 SONG Yuqiao Aprille 100% 100% 93% 66% 25% 4% -
119 WU Irene M. 100% 100% 96% 70% 30% 6% -
119 OLIVEIRA Lavinia M. 100% 94% 67% 26% 5% - -
121 MANIKTALA Prisha 100% 99% 87% 52% 17% 2% -
122 LI Phoebe J. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 16%
123 SOLDATOVA Maria 100% 100% 92% 55% 16% 2% -
124 FERRETTI Anna Rebecca 100% 100% 94% 70% 31% 7% -
125 MARKOVSKY Nina 100% 64% 22% 4% - -
126 HUANG NATALIE 100% 98% 84% 50% 16% 2% -
127 ZHENG Julie 100% 98% 77% 35% 7% 1% -
127 LONG Madeline M. 100% 93% 67% 30% 7% 1% -
129 O'NEIL Neve 100% 100% 95% 73% 35% 9% 1%
130 NIKOLIC Alexandra 100% 96% 57% 18% 3% - -
131 YE Eileen 100% 100% 93% 61% 16% 1%
132 LIU Angel(Daying) 100% 94% 67% 26% 5% -
133 MU Allison 100% 88% 43% 9% 1% -
134 MEI Sarah 100% 88% 49% 14% 2% -
135 CHANG Elizabeth 100% 98% 76% 33% 7% 1% -
136 HAYES Alyssa R. 100% 84% 47% 15% 3% - -
137 MICHAELSEN Emily 100% 100% 94% 67% 29% 6% -
138 WONG Sophia M. 100% 99% 89% 48% 10% 1% -
139 QIAN Zhiyan 100% 96% 70% 21% 3% - -
140 ROHRING Anna 100% 18% 1% - - - -
141 SLASKI Caroline O. 100% 78% 33% 7% 1% - -
142 WELBORN Calissa 100% 88% 50% 14% 2% - -
143 KO Claire 100% 75% 31% 6% 1% - -
144 KETTELLE Molly 100% 67% 23% 4% - - -
145 LEE Fiona E. 100% 80% 37% 9% 1% - -
146 LIN Ju-An Adrianne 100% 98% 72% 30% 6% 1% -
147 MEYER Claudia 100% 64% 20% 3% - - -
148 RASO Olivia 100% 78% 29% 4% - -
149 HOBSON Ava 100% 96% 69% 23% 3% -
150 LAI Sophia 100% 93% 18% 1% - -
151 HSIEH Rebecca 100% 90% 51% 15% 2% - -
152 NISSINOFF Alexandra 100% 99% 88% 56% 21% 4% -
153 KOSTELNY Alexis 100% 100% 95% 74% 35% 7% -
154 WANG Celine S. 100% 48% 11% 1% - - -
155 LI Sophia M. 100% 95% 68% 29% 6% 1% -
156 SHA Yi Ling 100% 90% 57% 22% 5% - -
157 HSIEH Sabrina 100% 51% 9% - - - -
158 PHILLIPS Hattie 100% 55% 10% 1% - - -
159 PAULUS Isabella 100% 45% 8% 1% - - -
160 HAN Ashley 100% 78% 36% 9% 1% - -
161 YANICELLI Sloane 100% 78% 27% 3% - - -
162 SIMONOV Dasha 100% 98% 81% 45% 13% 2% -
162 WANG Jasmine 100% 85% 43% 12% 1% - -
162 HAFEZ Tahiyah 100% 75% 19% 2% - - -
165 ZHENG Zoe 100% 60% 13% 1% - - -
166 LIN Victoria T. 100% 75% 27% 5% - - -
167 HWANG Alison 100% 96% 70% 31% 7% 1% -
168 PAULUS Sloane 100% 45% 9% 1% - - -
169 SHAH Suhani 100% 64% 15% 1% - - -
170 LIPKOVITZ Rivka 100% 89% 47% 12% 1% - -
171 HUBERT AVA CLAIRE 100% 63% 13% 1% - - -
172 TAN Clarisse 100% 89% 53% 17% 3% -
173 LEVY Avery 100% 56% 12% 1% - -
174 VAUGHAN Norah 100% 85% 46% 14% 2% - -
175 HAN Crystal 100% 61% 18% 2% - -
176 LUH Mia P. 100% 70% 18% 2% - - -
176 BAWA Sahana 100% 70% 28% 6% 1% - -
176 SCHMIDT Victoria 100% 71% 26% 5% - - -
179 BOLES Amanda X. 100% 63% 20% 3% - - -
179 PARK Leah 100% 73% 28% 5% 1% - -
181 MCLANE Katherine 100% 64% 15% 1% - - -
182 MULLER Van 100% 1% - - - -
182 KUNDU TRISHA 100% 43% 7% - - -
184 JIANG Claire 100% 63% 17% 2% - - -
184 SA Milla 100% 22% 2% - - - -
186 CASTANEDA Keira 100% 86% 51% 17% 3% - -
187 GAO Anna 100% 46% 9% 1% - - -
187 ZAMELIS Madelyn 100% 30% 4% - - - -
189 HE Katherine 100% 10% - - - -
190 FULIGNI Isabella 100% 44% 5% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.