Division I and Parafencing Nat'l Championships & April NAC

Junior Women's Épée

Sunday, April 24, 2022 at 2:00 PM

Charlotte, NC, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MACHULSKY Leehi - - - 1% 9% 38% 52%
2 XIAO Ruien - - 3% 15% 33% 35% 14%
3 KHAMIS Yasmine A. - - - - 3% 26% 71%
3 WANG Karen - - - 2% 14% 47% 36%
5 KUZNETSOV Victoria - - - 4% 21% 43% 31%
6 HUSISIAN Hadley N. - - - - 1% 19% 80%
7 CHIN Isabella - - - 3% 18% 43% 36%
8 OXENREIDER Tierna A. - - - 3% 15% 41% 42%
9 GU Sarah - - 1% 4% 19% 41% 35%
10 TYLER Syd - - - 3% 16% 45% 36%
11 PARK Faith K. - - - 1% 10% 37% 52%
12 KORFONTA Jolie - - 4% 18% 36% 32% 10%
13 BALAKRISHNAN Monica S. - - 2% 13% 36% 39% 10%
14 FALLON Kyle R. - - - 4% 19% 43% 35%
15 LEE Michelle J. - - 1% 8% 27% 41% 23%
16 WADE-CURRIE Ava S. - - 1% 9% 31% 43% 16%
17 KETKAR Ketki - - - 3% 24% 73%
18 WEISS Talia L. - 1% 12% 34% 37% 15% 1%
19 BEI Karen - - - 2% 15% 43% 40%
20 DING Jiahe (Heidi) - - - 3% 17% 48% 32%
21 PATURU Meghana - - - 3% 17% 42% 38%
22 LEE Sumin - - - 5% 23% 43% 28%
23 MAO Amy - 1% 10% 31% 40% 18%
24 JAKEL Sophia N. - - - 5% 22% 44% 29%
25 MEHROTRA Anya - - 3% 17% 36% 32% 11%
26 ZUHARS Renee A. - 1% 6% 22% 39% 27% 6%
27 DROVETSKY Alexandra M. - - 2% 15% 42% 41%
28 WANG Elizabeth - - 1% 7% 24% 41% 26%
29 PEHLIVANI Zara - 4% 17% 32% 31% 13% 2%
30 GAJJALA Sharika R. - - 3% 15% 33% 34% 14%
31 ZIGALO Elizabeth - - 4% 17% 34% 33% 12%
32 LIU Christina A. - - 1% 10% 32% 40% 16%
33 O'DONNELL Amanda A. - - 1% 7% 25% 42% 25%
34 YANG Alisa - 2% 13% 33% 36% 15% 2%
35 SEBASTIAN Felicity A. - - - 5% 23% 47% 25%
36 CHOI Eunice - 1% 10% 29% 37% 20% 3%
37 REID Anousheh - - 3% 17% 37% 33% 10%
38 NGUYEN Tallulah - 1% 8% 25% 36% 25% 6%
39 TEMIRYAEV Anna M. - 1% 11% 30% 36% 19% 3%
40 XUAN Nicole J. - - 3% 14% 34% 36% 13%
41 KIM Zoe L. - 2% 13% 34% 37% 14%
42 WATRALL Christina - - - 3% 16% 41% 40%
43 YIN Julia - 4% 16% 33% 32% 14% 2%
44 ZHANG Tina Tianyi - - 4% 19% 40% 32% 5%
45 WU Amelia - - 1% 9% 29% 42% 19%
46 GUMAGAY Erika L. - 3% 17% 33% 31% 14% 2%
47 MINOR Lindsey - 5% 25% 39% 24% 6% 1%
48 REID Sobia - 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 2%
49 SEMIKIN Julia - - 5% 21% 37% 29% 8%
50 YAO Melinda - 3% 15% 37% 35% 9% -
51 GORNOVSKY Abigail - 4% 21% 37% 28% 9% 1%
52 ALEXANDROV Katherine S. - 1% 7% 26% 38% 23% 5%
53 MCCUTCHEN Lauren (Lulu) - 5% 21% 35% 28% 10% 1%
54 LAVERY Chloe K. - - 3% 16% 38% 37% 6%
55 XUE Alanna L. - 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
56 JOYCE Michaela - - - - 6% 32% 62%
57 MUELLER Emma M. 5% 22% 36% 26% 9% 1% -
58 SMUK Alexandra S. 9% 31% 36% 19% 5% 1% -
59 CHEN Lefu - 3% 19% 39% 31% 8%
60 YU Nicole J. 1% 9% 29% 36% 20% 5% -
61 RUNIONS Emersyn - 1% 9% 28% 40% 20% 3%
62 CALDERA Lexi I. - 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
63 LI Alisha 1% 9% 36% 38% 15% 2% -
64 EDWARDS Auprell - 3% 18% 37% 31% 9% 1%
65 LIN Waiyuk - 1% 7% 25% 39% 24% 5%
66 NGUYEN Kira - 2% 13% 32% 35% 16% 2%
67 YU Sheerea 22% 44% 27% 7% 1% -
68 BEZUGLAYA Varvara - 1% 10% 32% 39% 16% 2%
69 LIN Katie Y. - - 1% 7% 26% 41% 25%
70 MILEWSKI Nicole - 1% 9% 29% 38% 20% 3%
71 GEBALA Natalie Brooke A. - - 1% 8% 33% 51% 7%
71 LEE yat ching - 3% 16% 36% 33% 11% 1%
73 LONADIER Keira 1% 7% 25% 37% 24% 5% -
74 WHITTEMORE Lucy K. - 1% 9% 26% 36% 23% 5%
74 DESAI Meera P. - 1% 9% 28% 37% 21% 4%
76 ZHEREBCHEVSKA Veronika - 8% 30% 37% 20% 5% -
76 DU Shunyi（Wendy） 9% 30% 36% 20% 5% 1% -
78 FENG ge - 4% 20% 35% 29% 11% 2%
79 YOU Emily - 13% 34% 33% 15% 3% -
80 KETKAR Mallika - - 3% 15% 35% 36% 11%
81 AHUJA Arianna - 4% 19% 34% 30% 11% 1%
82 LU Junyao - 4% 20% 41% 31% 4%
83 CHENG Ava - 3% 17% 37% 33% 10%
84 PAPADAKIS Lily 1% 8% 28% 39% 21% 3%
85 NGUYEN Audrey 15% 39% 33% 11% 1% -
86 CAPELLUA Mariasole - 1% 10% 29% 37% 20% 4%
87 AZMEH nour 9% 31% 37% 19% 4% - -
87 NEMETH Katherine 4% 18% 34% 30% 13% 2% -
87 LU Shiqi - 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 6%
90 MCLANE Lauren - - 2% 12% 32% 38% 16%
91 WANG Nora - - 2% 14% 35% 37% 12%
91 CHI Chelsea 1% 24% 41% 26% 7% 1% -
93 LAN Alice S. - 1% 11% 29% 35% 20% 4%
94 MALLAVARPU Aarthi C. 1% 12% 33% 35% 16% 3% -
95 LEUNG Natalie - 1% 5% 19% 36% 30% 9%
96 KIM Elizabeth Y. - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 2%
97 LUO Ashley - 1% 7% 25% 37% 25% 6%
98 SHU Youshan 1% 9% 29% 37% 20% 4% -
99 TAYLOR-CASAMAYOR Maia 1% 13% 34% 34% 15% 3% -
100 PEELER Julia 1% 10% 28% 36% 20% 4% -
101 SHARMA Sanvi 3% 18% 35% 29% 12% 2% -
101 CANNING Charlotte 2% 18% 38% 31% 10% 1% -
103 SWENSON Nikita G. 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 6% -
104 HSIU Elizabeth 6% 27% 40% 22% 5% - -
105 PINNAMANENI Drithi 2% 17% 37% 32% 11% 1% -
106 LEE Olivia 8% 28% 37% 21% 5% - -
107 TOLSMA Chloe (CJ) - 3% 20% 40% 29% 8% 1%
108 ZENG Katrina 7% 35% 37% 17% 4% - -
109 LIU Nicole 4% 21% 39% 27% 8% 1%
110 WITTE Vera - 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
111 COBERT Helen G. - 2% 13% 31% 35% 16% 3%
112 MYERS Jeanelle Christina A. 1% 10% 32% 35% 18% 4% -
113 SONG Angela 4% 20% 36% 28% 10% 1% -
114 WONG Alexandra R. 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
115 GAO Judy - 7% 25% 38% 23% 6% 1%
115 PADHYE Tanishka - 1% 8% 25% 38% 24% 4%
117 O'NEIL Nawal 2% 10% 25% 32% 23% 8% 1%
118 LEE Yedda 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2% -
119 REMEZA Alissa 1% 10% 28% 35% 20% 5% 1%
120 SMUK Daria A. 1% 12% 36% 35% 14% 2% -
121 CAFASSO Natalya 4% 38% 40% 16% 3% - -
122 NGUYEN Kaylin A. - 1% 6% 23% 38% 26% 5%
123 SUN Renee R. - 7% 28% 38% 21% 5% -
124 PEARSON Heila 5% 21% 35% 27% 11% 2% -
125 HICKS Grace 32% 45% 19% 3% - -
126 ZHANG Victoria R. 1% 7% 27% 42% 22% 2%
127 BUSH emma - 8% 29% 38% 20% 5% -
128 JAKEL Alysa C. - 25% 43% 24% 6% 1% -
129 AI Amy 15% 37% 33% 13% 2% - -
129 LEUNG Wan Kiu Hayley - 6% 28% 38% 22% 5% -
131 KIZILBASH Zara - 16% 36% 32% 13% 3% -
132 KALE Anika A. - 4% 19% 35% 30% 11% 1%
133 HONG Elaine 9% 32% 39% 17% 3% -
134 MOON Seojung 8% 32% 36% 18% 4% - -
135 ANDERSON Claire - 23% 43% 26% 7% 1% -
136 WEBER Nora - 4% 17% 32% 31% 14% 2%
137 QI Jarynne Valerie 2% 26% 39% 24% 7% 1% -
138 FAN Yun Cian - 2% 12% 31% 36% 16% 2%
139 YAO Yilin - 12% 34% 35% 16% 3% -
140 KORKIN Alice 2% 20% 39% 29% 9% 1% -
141 CHISHOLM Phoebe C. 1% 9% 29% 39% 20% 3% -
141 HUANG Lanlan 3% 21% 38% 28% 9% 1% -
143 WITTER Catherine A. 2% 13% 30% 33% 17% 4% -
144 ZHU Serene M. - 8% 30% 38% 19% 4% -
145 LE Jennifer 2% 21% 38% 28% 9% 1% -
146 JOHN Venus 54% 38% 8% 1% - - -
147 YAO KATHARINE 3% 18% 36% 30% 11% 2% -
148 ENRILE Erica 16% 37% 32% 12% 2% - -
149 LIN Ashley 13% 39% 34% 12% 2% -
150 HUANG NATALIE 23% 42% 27% 7% 1% -
151 WANG Esther 29% 49% 19% 3% - - -
152 TRAN Helena 4% 24% 39% 25% 7% 1% -
153 SENYUVA Su 15% 36% 33% 14% 3% - -
154 FAN Elizabeth 3% 26% 40% 24% 7% 1% -
155 JACKSON Viktoria 60% 33% 6% - - - -
156 LI Zhenni (Jenny) 23% 41% 27% 8% 1% - -
157 CHIRASHNYA Noya 5% 24% 38% 26% 7% 1% -
158 DONG Ava 21% 40% 29% 9% 1% - -
159 PULLEN Ayah 10% 35% 37% 15% 2% - -
159 SINHA Zara 9% 37% 37% 15% 3% - -
161 UNGURIANU Nika 33% 43% 20% 4% - - -
162 KELLY Jenna 1% 28% 41% 23% 6% 1% -
163 BYBEE Lucy J. 3% 20% 39% 29% 9% 1% -
164 LEE Daehyeon 32% 42% 21% 5% 1% - -
165 ZHAO Ivy 16% 37% 32% 12% 2% - -
166 ABRAMSON Mariela R. 21% 39% 28% 10% 2% - -
167 FURMAN Maria 5% 22% 37% 27% 9% 1% -
168 PEARSON Arwa 51% 38% 10% 1% - - -
168 CHENG Katherine 56% 37% 7% 1% - - -
170 STECKMEISTER Evelyn 94% 6% - - - - -
171 SHERTZ Kira E. 16% 38% 32% 12% 2% - -
171 NGUYEN Jolie T. 14% 46% 31% 8% 1% - -
173 GOLART Alexis A. 38% 46% 14% 2% - - -
174 SOTELO Michelle 35% 43% 18% 3% - -
175 RHEINECKER Claire 76% 22% 2% - - - -
176 DOUGLAS Julia F. 1% 11% 33% 36% 16% 2%
177 PLAZA-GASALLA Gloria 18% 54% 23% 4% - - -
177 RHEINECKER Eleanora Grace 81% 17% 1% - - - -
179 KUMAR Anusha 67% 28% 4% - - - -
180 ZHANG ANGELA 45% 40% 13% 2% - - -
181 XIE Fiona 51% 38% 10% 1% - - -
182 LEVERETT Corrina 61% 33% 6% 1% - - -
183 GORTI Aadya 96% 4% - - - - -
184 GOSART Hailee 94% 6% - - - - -
185 GORTI Ramya 94% 6% - - - - -
186 MIHILL Margaret 84% 15% 1% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.