Event Results
Arnold Fencing ClassicSurprise Map
Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | UKOLOV Dimitri | V V V V D V | V V V V | 4.5 | 5 | +0.5 |
| 2 | KELSEY Ryan | V V D V V V | V V V D | 4.3 | 5 | +0.7 |
| 3 | SCHLEICHER Edward | V V V V V | V V D | 3.3 | 5 | +1.7 |
| 3 | AYUSH Shah | D V V V D | V V V D | 3.6 | 3 | -0.6 |
| 5 | GLECKNER Aidan | V V V V V | V D | 2.4 | 5 | +2.6 |
| 6 | DICKSON Tim | V V V V V D | V D | 3.5 | 5 | +1.5 |
| 7 | BACKOS Ryan P. | V D V V V | V V D | 3.3 | 4 | +0.7 |
| 8 | CHITU Julian S. | D V V D D | V V D | 2.8 | 2 | -0.8 |
| 9 | CLARK Carson | V V V V V | D | 3.9 | 5 | +1.1 |
| 10 | CHITU Andreas C. | V V D V V | D | 1.6 | 4 | +2.4 |
| 11 | TASSART Alan | V V V D D | V D | 4.0 | 3 | -1.0 |
| 12 | REED Dusty (Allen) | D V V V D | V D | 3.1 | 3 | -0.1 |
| 13 | SILVANIA Michael | V D D V V | V D | 2.0 | 3 | +1.0 |
| 14 | ANDERSON Michael L. | D D V D V V | V D | 2.7 | 3 | +0.3 |
| 15 | PRICE Luke D. | D D V D V | V D | 2.7 | 2 | -0.7 |
| 16 | TATE Leon J. | V D D D V D | V D | 2.6 | 2 | -0.6 |
| 17 | RICCHIUTI Nikola | D V D D V | D | 1.8 | 2 | +0.2 |
| 18 | PATEL Neal | V D D D D | D | 2.4 | 1 | -1.4 |
| 19 | MYERS Tom | D D D V D | D | 1.4 | 1 | -0.4 |
| 20 | MCLEAN Alex T. | V D D D D | D | 1.9 | 1 | -0.9 |
| 21 | O'BRIEN Timothy S. | D D D D V | D | 1.7 | 1 | -0.7 |
| 22 | WILLIAMS Richard | D D D V D D | D | 2.2 | 1 | -1.2 |
| 23 | KNOWLES Ethan | D D D D D | D | 1.8 | 0 | -1.8 |
| 23 | DUNDEK Zachary L. | D D D D D | D | 1.3 | 0 | -1.3 |
| 25 | CRANE Brooks | D D D D D D | D | 1.3 | 0 | -1.3 |
| Color | Outcome | Difficulty | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |