Mandel Sporting Events Colorado Cup #4

Senior Mixed Épée

Saturday, April 9, 2022 at 3:15 PM

Denver Fencing Center - Denver, CO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WALSH Kevin 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 43%
2 LI Patrick 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 65% 21%
3 KISSINGFORD John F. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 52% 10%
3 ALTMAN Jeff H. 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 33%
5 BARTLETT Christopher 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 27%
6 RASMUSSEN Nathan 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 28% 5%
7 ERKENBECK Nathan M. 100% 93% 67% 31% 7% 1%
8 PETERSON Matthew 100% 98% 82% 47% 13% 1%
9 TORRES Nicolas 100% 98% 85% 55% 23% 5% -
10 BURBEY Sam 100% 100% 94% 64% 19% 2%
11 BLEICHER Simon 100% 99% 89% 53% 15% 1%
12 EVANS Tyler 100% 99% 86% 55% 22% 4% -
13 NIEMIEC Mark 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 15% 1%
14 TOLLEFSON Zachary 100% 76% 34% 8% 1% -
15 LETTANG John 100% 95% 75% 41% 13% 2% -
16 WEBER Nora 100% 93% 68% 32% 8% 1%
17 GAO Zachary 100% 97% 77% 39% 10% 1%
17 MCADOO Declan 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 12%
19 HARR Carver 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 49%
20 HAWSON Kieran 100% 99% 88% 61% 26% 5%
21 AGGELER Donovan 100% 95% 70% 31% 7% -
22 WELCH Bryant 100% 94% 67% 30% 7% 1% -
23 FRENCH Phaelen 100% 83% 30% 4% - -
24 TIBBETTS Johnathan 100% 98% 84% 52% 18% 2%
25 HANKINS Dylan 100% 98% 86% 52% 15% 1%
26 SHULL Marc 100% 99% 88% 59% 24% 5% -
27 MCDONALD Connor 100% 88% 51% 14% 2% - -
28 FOX Alexander 100% 69% 25% 4% - - -
29 PEARSON Heila 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 18% 2%
30 HANEY Kimberly M. 100% 88% 51% 17% 3% -
31 WITTER Erik 100% 86% 43% 11% 1% -
32 PEARSON Arwa 100% 90% 50% 15% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.