Event Results
Arnold Fencing ClassicSurprise Map
Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | ORR Spencer | D D V V V V | V V V V V | 3.2 | 4 | +0.8 |
| 2 | DERBAUM Ryan | V V V D V D | V V V V D | 3.5 | 4 | +0.5 |
| 3 | UPTON Sydney | V V V V V V | V V D | 4.1 | 6 | +1.9 |
| 3 | NAMGALAURI Mariam | V V V V D V | V V D | 4.4 | 5 | +0.6 |
| 5 | AGUAYO Juan | V V V V D V | V D | 4.2 | 5 | +0.8 |
| 6 | DAVIES Ellie | V V V V D V | V V D | 3.1 | 5 | +1.9 |
| 7 | CULLIVAN Justice | V V V V D V | V V D | 3.6 | 5 | +1.4 |
| 8 | COLON Ian | V V V V D V | V V D | 3.6 | 5 | +1.4 |
| 9 | RAJPAL Alastair | V V D V V V | D | 4.2 | 5 | +0.8 |
| 10 | BURBERRY Alan | V D V V V V | V D | 3.5 | 5 | +1.5 |
| 11 | LAI Twayne | V V V V V D | V D | 3.9 | 5 | +1.1 |
| 12 | ZHUANG Sophie | D V V D V V | V D | 3.6 | 4 | +0.4 |
| 13 | HAYES Alyssa R. | D D V V V V | V D | 3.3 | 4 | +0.7 |
| 14 | ROEVER Sean M. | D V V D V D | V D | 2.9 | 3 | +0.1 |
| 15 | POLONSKI Anthony | V V D D D D | V D | 2.4 | 2 | -0.4 |
| 16 | BURBERRY Livia | D V D D V D | V D | 2.1 | 2 | -0.1 |
| 17 | SKOURLETOS Maria | D D D V V V | D | 2.3 | 3 | +0.7 |
| 18 | SPIEWACKI Joshua | D D V V D V | D | 2.8 | 3 | +0.2 |
| 19 | LEE Fiona E. | D D D D V V | D | 1.9 | 2 | +0.1 |
| 20 | GRAFFAGNINO Jack | D V D V D D | D | 2.6 | 2 | -0.6 |
| 21 | ZHANG Zoe | D D D D V D | D | 2.7 | 1 | -1.7 |
| 22 | SALMAN Samiya | D V D D D D | D | 1.9 | 1 | -0.9 |
| 23 | PRAIRIE Beatrix | V D D D D D | D | 2.6 | 1 | -1.6 |
| 24 | RIBAS FERNANDO | D D D D V D | D | 2.3 | 1 | -1.3 |
| 25 | SEKULA William | V D D D D D | D | 2.8 | 1 | -1.8 |
| 26 | TAYLOR Juliana E. | D D D D D D | D | 2.3 | 0 | -2.3 |
| 27 | CYMBALAK Sebastian | D D D D D D | D | 2.4 | 0 | -2.4 |
| 28 | HARRELL Brendan | D D D D D D | D | 1.8 | 0 | -1.8 |
| Color | Outcome | Difficulty | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |