Event Results
Arnold Fencing ClassicSurprise Map
Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | GUZZI VINCENTI Margherita A. | V V V V V V | V V V V | 5.9 | 6 | +0.1 |
| 2 | KWOK Tianna W. | V V D V V D | V V V D | 3.9 | 4 | +0.1 |
| 3 | SEMIKIN Julia | V V V V V | V V D | 3.9 | 5 | +1.1 |
| 3 | WU Fan | V D V V D D | V V D | 3.5 | 3 | -0.5 |
| 5 | KIM Elizabeth Y. | V V D V V V | V D | 3.7 | 5 | +1.3 |
| 6 | LAWSON Marie A. | D D V V V V | V D | 4.6 | 4 | -0.6 |
| 7 | KANG Dahyun | D V D V V | V D | 3.2 | 3 | -0.2 |
| 8 | BELSLEY Devon K. | V V V D D | V D | 3.4 | 3 | -0.4 |
| 9 | BOTNER Olivia | V V V D D V | D | 3.1 | 4 | +0.9 |
| 10 | SAVINI Lorenza | D V V V D V | D | 2.9 | 4 | +1.1 |
| 11 | LEWIS Sophia | V D D V V V | D | 2.9 | 4 | +1.1 |
| 12 | SCHAFF Marlene M. | V D D V D | D | 2.3 | 2 | -0.3 |
| 13 | PEDERSEN Kari | D D V D V D | V D | 2.6 | 2 | -0.6 |
| 14 | BANKS Lauren M. | D V V D D D | V D | 1.3 | 2 | +0.7 |
| 15 | BELAOUSSOFF Kira | D D D D D V | V D | 3.6 | 1 | -2.6 |
| 16 | GIFFORD Sally | D V D D D D | V D | 2.1 | 1 | -1.1 |
| 17 | ROWLAND May | D D V D D | D | 1.0 | 1 | - |
| 18 | EITZEN Carissa | D D D D V | D | 1.3 | 1 | -0.3 |
| 19 | WALLACE Madison K. | D D D D D V | D | 0.8 | 1 | +0.2 |
| 20 | DIAZ RIOS Bibiana | V D D D D D | D | 1.0 | 1 | - |
| Color | Outcome | Difficulty | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |