January NAC

Junior Men's Saber

Sunday, January 9, 2022 at 2:00 PM

San Jose, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MOON Sean H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 45%
2 WILLIAMS Nolan E. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 25%
3 JEFFORDS Alexander 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 43% 10%
3 MORRILL William 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 30%
5 HARLEY Colby A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 69%
6 HU William 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 18%
7 JI Cody Walter 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 25%
8 BERMAN Luca 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 9% 1%
9 YANG Ziyi 100% 99% 93% 69% 30% 5%
10 LO Joshua H. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 22%
11 DINU Nicholas D. 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 66% 22%
12 LAI Adam J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 25%
13 LINSKY Matthew 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 19%
14 BASALYGA Jeffrey 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 16%
15 DESROSIERS Olivier 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
16 REN James 100% 92% 65% 29% 7% 1% -
17 PAN Jack (Yuxiang) 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
18 TONG Qilin 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 8%
19 NAZLYMOV Andrei 100% 98% 85% 56% 23% 5% < 1%
20 WOOD Elden S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 29%
21 HAMMERSTROM Jared 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 16%
22 LIANG Connor 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 25%
23 LILOV Neil 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 24%
24 TRAVERS Samir T. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 21%
25 BARBER William S. 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 35% 7%
26 PAN Jerry 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 31% 4%
27 JOHNSON Langston C. 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 21% 2%
28 SILBERZWEIG Jordan H. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 31%
29 WIND Nicky E. 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 4%
30 TANN Justin 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 26% 5%
31 CHON Taylor A. 100% 100% 99% 89% 62% 25% 4%
32 DENNER Lysander H. 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 38% 8%
33 HONG Vincent Q. 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 28% 4%
34 HARVEY Nicholas J. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 19%
35 GUAY-TARDIF Xavier 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 20%
36 BERGER Oliver 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 8%
37 SOHN Kevin J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 23%
38 STATEN-LUSTY Silas J. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 12%
39 BARRETO Elliott 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 13%
40 NOBLE Daniel 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 42% 11%
41 SO Hananiah 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 19%
42 SMITH David C. 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 13%
43 DHINGRA Gian K. 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 31%
44 ANGLADE Junior Ronald (RJ) E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 63%
45 KUSHKOV Simon O. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 26%
46 DODRILL Grant 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 16%
47 ZIELINSKI Nicholaus M. 100% 100% 100% 97% 76% 34% 6%
48 RIVERA Inigo Franco 100% 100% 100% 93% 68% 30% 5%
48 MORRILL Justin 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 3%
50 TONG ZACHARY 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 10% 1%
51 WU Mengke 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 44% 11%
52 MARGULIES William 100% 99% 91% 63% 28% 6% -
53 FRIAS SAUL F. 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 28% 5%
54 CZYZEWSKI Konrad R. 100% 100% 99% 85% 45% 11% 1%
55 BULL Anderson 100% 100% 93% 68% 33% 9% 1%
56 LUEBBE Macklan C 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3%
57 CALLAHAN Jaden P. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 21%
58 HUSSAIN Faaris 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 39%
59 KOTOV Leonid 100% 99% 90% 63% 28% 6% 1%
60 DU Gavin J. 100% 100% 96% 77% 43% 13% 1%
61 XUE ALEXANDER 100% 99% 88% 58% 25% 6% 1%
62 FERNANDEZ Rodrigo 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 56% 16%
63 STONE Esmond A. 100% 99% 83% 43% 12% 2% -
64 KAYDALIN Artyom 100% 100% 99% 86% 55% 20% 3%
65 BRAR Sanjeet 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 14% 2%
66 RAI Avin 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 12%
67 HAN Daniel Y. 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 21% 3%
68 BREIER Satchel E. 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 9%
68 YANG Richard 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 10% 1%
70 RAJA Arnav 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4%
71 GREENBAUM Ian L. 100% 99% 91% 64% 29% 7% 1%
72 SAKHAMURI Surya 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 41% 9%
73 KIM Andrew H. 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 12% 1%
74 LE Hayden 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 14% 2%
75 JIANG Anthony 100% 100% 96% 79% 41% 9%
76 CHIN Matthew W. 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 5%
77 LIMB Matthew G. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 43%
78 CHANG Colin S. 100% 98% 84% 50% 17% 3% -
79 CHOI HYUNSEOK 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 34%
79 JINICH Ilan R. 100% 100% 93% 68% 30% 7% 1%
81 KIM Shaun M. 100% 100% 95% 71% 34% 9% 1%
82 FREYRE DE ANDRADE Elian R. 100% 100% 97% 74% 32% 7% -
83 YUN Jake 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3%
84 HOLZ William A. 100% 100% 85% 42% 11% 1% -
84 HOLZ Daniel 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 12% 1%
86 AVAKIAN Alec 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 17% 2%
87 LEE Justin 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 5% -
88 KOGAN Benjamin 100% 99% 91% 66% 32% 8% 1%
89 REN Richard 100% 98% 87% 56% 21% 4% -
90 LEE Aydan J. 100% 98% 85% 55% 21% 4% -
91 DENNER Maximilian P. 100% 99% 91% 64% 26% 4%
92 CHAN Matthew 100% 99% 91% 63% 25% 4%
93 EICHHORN Lukas H. 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 5% -
94 YOU Jaden 100% 93% 61% 23% 4% - -
95 KIBBAR Tomer L. 100% 100% 96% 78% 45% 15% 2%
96 MAKLIN Edward P. 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 6% -
97 BEITEL Noah 100% 96% 69% 28% 6% 1% -
98 NIL Michael Y. 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 18% 3%
98 SHIRPAL Oleksandr 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 2%
100 WONG Ryan 100% 98% 84% 51% 18% 3% -
101 BENAVRAM Lev C. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 19%
101 BARBER Brendan 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 9% 1%
103 QIU Nathan 100% 100% 97% 81% 48% 16% 2%
104 REYES Xavier M. 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 18% 3%
105 WANG Robert 100% 100% 91% 53% 16% 2% -
106 LIU kelly 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 20% 3%
107 XU William 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 20% 3%
108 BARTOLO Domenic V. 100% 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 5%
108 PAN Andrew W. 100% 99% 87% 57% 22% 4% -
110 DELARUE NELSON Y. 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 2% -
111 POPE Nico 100% 99% 88% 61% 27% 6% 1%
112 ZUBATIY Samuel 100% 100% 94% 70% 32% 7% 1%
113 ROSBERG Dashiell W. 100% 100% 93% 70% 34% 9% 1%
114 GHAYALOD ansh 100% 97% 80% 44% 12% 1%
115 HO Kaden M. 100% 99% 91% 64% 27% 4%
116 LASORSA Matthew 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 18% 3%
117 LO Alexander 100% 99% 56% 15% 2% - -
118 ERMAKOV Lev 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 21% 3%
119 XU Luke 100% 100% 93% 69% 34% 10% 1%
120 LUO George F. 100% 99% 88% 60% 25% 5% -
120 LINDHOLM Oliver S. 100% 95% 73% 38% 11% 2% -
122 CHEONG Heonjae 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 6% 1%
123 COVINGTON Max G. 100% 99% 89% 63% 29% 7% 1%
124 WOODWARD Connor 100% 99% 93% 68% 33% 8% 1%
125 BUKOWSKI Bronson 100% 99% 90% 63% 29% 7% 1%
126 CHTERENTAL Alex 100% 78% 39% 11% 2% - -
127 MAGUIRE Matthew V. 100% 99% 93% 71% 37% 11% 1%
128 ATANASSOV Vasil V. 100% 94% 68% 32% 8% 1%
129 CHEN Evan P. 100% 98% 83% 46% 14% 2% -
130 LIN Daniel 100% 90% 59% 24% 5% -
131 SANDERS Samuel B. 100% 80% 39% 10% 1% -
132 ALTIRS Alexander 100% 99% 92% 71% 37% 10% 1%
133 GRATHWOL-SEAR Oliver 100% 88% 52% 18% 3% - -
133 LIM William J. 100% 89% 58% 24% 6% 1% -
135 GHENEA George Philipe 100% 95% 75% 40% 13% 2% -
136 WANG Nicolas 100% 98% 73% 33% 8% 1% -
137 BAUER Hank E. 100% 99% 57% 17% 3% - -
138 YANG Dylan 100% 90% 58% 23% 5% - -
139 SCHERER Max 100% 97% 75% 28% 5% - -
140 RAJAN Advait 100% 91% 55% 19% 4% - -
141 VO Minh Q. 100% 88% 54% 20% 4% - -
142 BERRIO Carter E. 100% 99% 93% 70% 35% 9% 1%
142 JEFFRY Nicholas B. 100% 98% 83% 51% 19% 3% -
144 KROON Lucas 100% 92% 59% 22% 4% - -
145 NG Jeremiah 100% 98% 78% 39% 11% 1% -
146 LI Yiwei 100% 76% 36% 10% 2% - -
147 LO Konnor 100% 88% 54% 21% 5% 1% -
148 LICHT Aaron H. 100% 85% 50% 17% 3% -
149 SOUTHWORTH Nathaniel 100% 69% 26% 5% - -
150 XU Andrew 100% 92% 63% 27% 7% 1% -
151 ZHOU Miles 100% 99% 85% 53% 21% 4% -
152 GLOZMAN Justin 100% 96% 71% 33% 9% 1% -
153 HOUTZ Jackson 100% 100% 94% 71% 34% 9% 1%
154 BARRA Emiliano 100% 98% 79% 42% 13% 2% -
155 RHEE Ethan N. 100% 85% 48% 16% 3% - -
155 HONG Steven 100% 97% 78% 41% 13% 2% -
157 YANG Duncan (BoTong) 100% 98% 84% 54% 22% 5% -
158 JAIN Aniket 100% 35% 6% - - - -
159 CHAN Aidan 100% 99% 47% 10% 1% - -
160 KUSHKOV Veniamin 100% 98% 79% 43% 14% 2% -
161 GAO Albert 100% 95% 73% 38% 12% 2% -
162 MURZYN III CJ 100% 99% 88% 55% 21% 4% -
163 BARBUTA Andrew 100% 52% 13% 2% - - -
164 TAO Jeffrey 100% 85% 49% 17% 3% - -
165 KORINTH Alexander J. 100% 73% 22% 2% - - -
166 GOLDIN Lucca 100% 58% 13% 1% - - -
167 CAISSE Simon B. 100% 82% 44% 14% 2% - -
168 LU Caleb Q. 100% 83% 41% 11% 1% -
169 REED Samuel J. 100% 76% 34% 9% 1% - -
170 CENTENO Zachary 100% 20% 1% - - - -
171 MCCARTHY Gabriel 100% 96% 76% 42% 13% 2% -
172 ZHANG Yankun 100% 44% 9% 1% - - -
172 KIM Evan 100% 8% - - - - -
174 LEITH Jack 100% 77% 34% 8% 1% -
175 HAO Anwen 100% 81% 43% 13% 2% - -
176 GAO Marcus 100% 33% 5% - - - -
176 MIYASAKI-CASTRO Masanobu 100% 75% 34% 9% 1% - -
176 KIM Ryan 100% 48% 11% 1% - - -
179 RYBKIN Jacob 100% 54% 14% 2% - - -
180 PI Alexander 100% 70% 27% 6% 1% - -
181 HERRERA aragon 100% 18% 1% - - - -
181 KANG Evan 100% 39% 7% 1% - - -
183 CHUA Jared 100% 3% - - - - -
184 LI Seth 100% 4% - - - - -
184 MATALIA Soham 100% 2% - - - - -
186 WU Maximus 100% 74% 32% 8% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.