January NAC

Div I Women's Foil

Monday, January 10, 2022 at 8:00 AM

San Jose, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SCRUGGS Lauren S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 59%
2 DESCHNER Stefani K. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 42%
3 DUBROVICH Jacqueline 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 90%
3 BLOW Iman (Mani) A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 65%
5 WEINTRAUB Maia M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 45%
6 KIM Rachael 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 43% 11%
7 BINDER Sylvie A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 45%
8 LESLIE Ryanne T. 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 28% 5%
9 NOTT Adrienne (Adi) M. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 12%
10 RHODES Zander 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 42%
11 KLEINER Elyssa R. 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 21% 2%
12 TIEU May L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 64%
13 MARINELLI Ever 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 37%
14 APELIAN Katherine 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 9%
15 ANDREYENKA Hanna 100% 100% 98% 84% 52% 18% 2%
16 KONG Chin-Yi 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 17% 2%
17 ZHENG Ivy 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 26% 4%
18 LUNG Katerina 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 37% 7%
19 GUO Jessica Zi Jia 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 79%
20 LEE Brianna J. 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 16% 2%
21 WANG Ellen 100% 100% 97% 81% 48% 14% 1%
22 KOO Haley B. 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 21% 3%
23 FANG Sabrina 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 25%
24 CHUSID Renata M. 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 7%
25 CHO Sabrina N. 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 32%
26 CASTANEDA Erika L. 100% 100% 94% 72% 34% 7% -
27 ZHANG Alina C. 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 3% -
28 JING Emily 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 13% 1%
29 PETROVA Kristina 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 21% 3%
30 CATANTAN Samantha Kyle 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 31%
31 SHEN Lydia 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 13% -
32 KOROL Neta 100% 84% 45% 14% 2% - -
33 LEE Alina 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 49% 14%
34 LUONG Paige K. 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 23% 3%
35 TAN Helen 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 40%
36 TAFFEL sara 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 23%
37 GRIFFIN Emma G. 100% 100% 99% 89% 62% 24% 3%
38 CONWAY Josephina (JoJo) J. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 19%
39 SHEN Sophia H. 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 13%
40 ZHAO Sophie L. 100% 93% 68% 31% 8% 1%
41 LEE Annora Y. 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 31% 5%
42 ZHOU Emme 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 9%
43 ZHENG Vivian 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 14%
44 CHUSID Mikayla 100% 100% 95% 74% 38% 10% 1%
44 SENIC Adeline 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 5% -
46 MYRONIUK Dariia 100% 95% 72% 34% 8% 1% -
47 NISHIMURA Madeleine A. 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 2%
48 HOOSHI Erica S. 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 16% 1%
49 DEVORE Delphine P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 47%
50 QIAN Crystal 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 17%
51 HO Brianna W. 100% 100% 95% 77% 41% 10%
52 ANDREYENKA Yana 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 4%
53 BREKER Anika 100% 99% 89% 61% 24% 4%
54 HE Elizabeth W. 100% 100% 100% 94% 70% 24%
55 FREEDMAN Miranda W. 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 11% 1%
56 CRUM Quinn T. 100% 100% 98% 84% 53% 19% 2%
57 LIU Jaelyn A. 100% 99% 88% 60% 25% 5% -
58 LOCKE Savannah 100% 96% 77% 44% 15% 3% -
59 RENTON Samantha 100% 82% 45% 15% 3% - -
60 PARK Rowan M. 100% 95% 74% 37% 10% 1%
61 PEVZNER Victoria 100% 100% 94% 72% 34% 8% 1%
62 TAN Kaitlyn N. 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 8% 1%
63 LUU Shanon K. 100% 90% 56% 21% 4% - -
64 OUYANG Bridgette Z. 100% 98% 85% 56% 24% 5% -
65 HE Fenghuan 100% 99% 88% 59% 24% 5% -
66 SEAL Grace (Gracie) C. 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 5% -
67 GONG Christina S. 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 9% 1%
68 PARTRIDGE Morgan K. 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 35%
69 CHENG Evelyn 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 19%
70 MILLER Naomi E. 100% 100% 96% 78% 45% 15% 2%
71 HOSONO Rei W. 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 18% 2%
72 LEE Allison (Allie) 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 29% 4%
73 KOO Rachel A. 100% 100% 98% 84% 53% 19% 2%
74 KIM Katherine 100% 99% 92% 69% 36% 10% 1%
75 JING Alexandra 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 9%
76 TALAVERA Daena 100% 98% 82% 45% 11% 1%
77 GEBALA Gabrielle Grace A. 100% 98% 86% 54% 19% 3%
78 DE LA CRUZ Eden 100% 76% 34% 8% 1% -
79 CAO Arianna L. 100% 100% 98% 87% 61% 26% 5%
80 EYER Hailey M. 100% 100% 94% 73% 37% 9% -
81 GAYDOS Sofia C. 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 7% 1%
82 TSAI Xiao-Qing E. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 50% 12%
83 LUKINS Tianji 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 12% 1%
84 YEH Marissa E. 100% 75% 32% 7% 1% - -
85 HORSLEY Asherah 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 14%
85 JO Mia C. 100% 99% 89% 62% 29% 7% 1%
87 XUE Alanna L. 100% 97% 73% 33% 8% 1% -
88 OH Erin H. 100% 100% 94% 74% 39% 9% -
89 CHO Gracie L. 100% 99% 88% 59% 25% 6% -
90 KNIGHT Skylar 100% 99% 93% 69% 32% 7% 1%
91 KOENIG Charlotte R. 100% 99% 89% 60% 25% 5% -
91 PENG Amber L. 100% 91% 59% 24% 5% - -
93 SHAW Kayla M. 100% 97% 78% 42% 13% 2% -
94 MOON Elina C. 100% 97% 76% 39% 11% 2% -
95 CHEN Jia P. 100% 99% 91% 64% 26% 4%
96 SOOD Ishani S. 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 6%
97 SARTORI Taylor M. 100% 91% 58% 20% 3% -
98 TALWALKAR Apoorva 100% 66% 23% 4% - -
99 LI Rachel Y. 100% 93% 65% 27% 6% -
100 KOKES Gabrielle 100% 99% 88% 62% 28% 7% 1%
101 DAVIA Daniella V. 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 16% 2%
102 GUERRA Sofia E. 100% 93% 67% 31% 9% 1% -
102 GALAVOTTI Claire Teresa 100% 99% 88% 57% 22% 4% -
102 YU Lauren C. 100% 87% 50% 17% 3% - -
105 LI Phoebe J. 100% 99% 91% 63% 27% 5% -
106 KORABLINA Aleksandra 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 19% 3%
107 SUN Ruoxi 100% 94% 67% 29% 7% 1% -
108 KASI Anisha 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 12% 1%
109 SABATINI Isabella Ravenne 100% 96% 66% 26% 6% 1% -
110 YU Seneca 100% 97% 79% 46% 16% 3% -
110 NEWHARD Zelia "Zizi" 100% 97% 78% 42% 12% 2% -
112 YE Eileen 100% 89% 53% 19% 3% - -
113 KO Christelle Joy 100% 91% 60% 24% 5% 1% -
114 SERBAN Samantha M. 100% 99% 87% 53% 19% 3% -
115 CHEN Jessie S. 100% 94% 68% 29% 5% -
116 CHO Cameron S. 100% 84% 45% 14% 2% -
117 DEBACK Greta I. 100% 95% 73% 37% 10% 1%
118 CHO Rebecca H. 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% -
119 KONG Olivia 100% 88% 52% 17% 3% -
120 GOMES Rafaella T. 100% 84% 46% 15% 2% -
121 KHOO Lauren A. 100% 85% 49% 16% 3% -
122 WU Kyra 100% 78% 38% 11% 2% -
123 MORADI Raiyan N. 100% 58% 17% 3% - - -
124 CHOI Lenna K. 100% 99% 88% 57% 23% 5% -
125 STAMOS Maria 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 39% 8%
126 YAROSHENKO Karina 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 24% 3%
127 RANDOLPH Piper 100% 82% 42% 12% 2% - -
128 SHIH Diane 100% 76% 34% 8% 1% - -
129 PROCOPIO Lucia 100% 70% 26% 5% 1% - -
130 SHITAMOTO Audrey F. 100% 61% 19% 3% - - -
131 WALKER Mayah J. 100% 89% 55% 20% 4% - -
132 TOLBERT Zoe 100% 79% 36% 9% 1% - -
133 CHO Taylor S. 100% 91% 61% 24% 5% - -
134 CHON Samantha 100% 99% 89% 62% 26% 5% -
135 DU Hannah 100% 75% 34% 8% 1% - -
136 YHIP Mikaela M. 100% 94% 64% 26% 6% 1% -
137 JIA Amy 100% 97% 78% 43% 14% 2% -
138 SUN Chien-Yu 100% 76% 36% 10% 2% - -
139 KOROL Dana 100% 69% 26% 5% - - -
140 DRAGNE Alexis D. 100% 73% 31% 7% 1% - -
140 LAURIA Mariavittoria 100% 27% 3% - - - -
142 WONG Sophia M. 100% 92% 60% 24% 5% 1% -
142 OLIVEIRA Lavinia M. 100% 73% 23% 3% - - -
144 CROMPTON Celia N. 100% 97% 79% 43% 13% 2% -
144 WU Julianna Y. 100% 71% 27% 5% - - -
146 XIANG Emma 100% 43% 9% 1% - - -
147 SANCHEZ Sophia 100% 57% 14% 1% - - -
148 MING YUE 100% 59% 18% 3% - - -
148 YIN Helen 100% 66% 23% 4% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.