Event Results
Arnold Fencing ClassicSurprise Map
Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | GERSTMANN Max T. | V V V V | V V V V | 2.5 | 4 | +1.5 |
| 2 | GUREVICH Benjamin | V V D V | V V V D | 2.7 | 3 | +0.3 |
| 3 | BOHRER Ari | D V V D D | V V D | 2.1 | 2 | -0.1 |
| 3 | WU Yuwei | V V D V | V V D | 1.8 | 3 | +1.2 |
| 5 | HERNANDEZ VEGA Mya | D V V V V | V D | 4.0 | 4 | - |
| 6 | SOMMA Dylan | V V D V | V D | 2.2 | 3 | +0.8 |
| 7 | SUSPITSYNA Alexandra (Sasha) | D V V V | V D | 2.2 | 3 | +0.8 |
| 8 | STEPHENS Miles | V V D D V | V D | 2.7 | 3 | +0.3 |
| 9 | CIACCIA Luca | V D D V V | D | 2.4 | 3 | +0.6 |
| 10 | BLAKE Anna | D D V V | D | 2.7 | 2 | -0.7 |
| 11 | POLSTON Ella | D D V V D | D | 2.2 | 2 | -0.2 |
| 12 | HANEY Zachary | D D V D | D | 1.6 | 1 | -0.6 |
| 13 | PORTER William | D V D D | D | 1.9 | 1 | -0.9 |
| 14 | DEHON Inès | V D D D D | D | 1.6 | 1 | -0.6 |
| 15 | BULLARD Neha | D D D D | D | 1.1 | 0 | -1.1 |
| 16 | SHAW Ethan | D D D D | D | 1.3 | 0 | -1.3 |
| Color | Outcome | Difficulty | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |