Event Results
Arnold Fencing ClassicSurprise Map
Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | WOODWARD Connor | V V V V V | V V V | 4.2 | 5 | +0.8 |
| 2 | THORNHILL Kwasi | V V V V D | V V D | 3.7 | 4 | +0.3 |
| 3 | BARDWELL Jr Douglas W. | V D D V D V | V V D | 2.3 | 3 | +0.7 |
| 3 | SHEN Christopher | V D V D V V | V V D | 2.2 | 4 | +1.8 |
| 5 | GU Samuel | V V V V V D | D | 3.9 | 5 | +1.1 |
| 6 | JAWOROWSKI Matthew | D D V V D V | V D | 4.5 | 3 | -1.5 |
| 7 | DENISON Joseph | D V V D D V | V D | 3.1 | 3 | -0.1 |
| 8 | CANNON Logan | V V D D V D | V D | 3.3 | 3 | -0.3 |
| 9 | CONN Jackson | V D D D V | D | 2.2 | 2 | -0.2 |
| 10 | BULLARD Nicholas Y. | D V D V D | D | 1.7 | 2 | +0.3 |
| 11 | RICHER Tyler | D D V D D | D | 2.6 | 1 | -1.6 |
| 12 | MERKLE Evan | D D D D V | D | 0.6 | 1 | +0.4 |
| 13 | SWIERZ Zachary | D D D D D D | D | 1.7 | 0 | -1.7 |
| Color | Outcome | Difficulty | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |