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Duel of the East Coast RJCC/RYC

Y-14 Men's Saber

Sunday, February 27, 2022 at 3:00 PM

Valley Forge Event Center - King of Prussia, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Birth Year

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	FELDMAN Drew	-	-	-	3%	18%	48%	31%
2	TANG Shu Hon	-	-	3%	14%	31%	35%	16%
3	DENBROEDER Ronald (Mackie)	-	-	1%	6%	27%	43%	23%
3	RYAN Kai	-	2%	10%	26%	34%	22%	6%
5	HO Jacob	4%	22%	39%	27%	7%	1%	-
6	CARRINGTON IV William T.	-	-	2%	13%	36%	37%	12%
7	FTAIHA Ezra	8%	29%	36%	21%	5%	1%
8	OH Aster	-	2%	9%	25%	35%	24%	6%
9	XIA Eric	-	6%	20%	33%	27%	11%	2%
10	ATWOOD Griffin	-	3%	14%	30%	33%	17%	3%
11	ZHENG LEON	-	2%	11%	30%	39%	19%
12	KONG Alan	-	-	1%	9%	33%	41%	16%
13	WITCZAK Mateus	2%	13%	29%	32%	18%	5%	1%
14	PRIEUR Christian F.	-	5%	25%	43%	22%	4%	-
15	BONETTI Brayden	-	-	-	4%	21%	45%	29%
15	LIM Brandon	2%	15%	33%	33%	14%	2%	-
17	ALAVE Kyle	-	1%	5%	17%	33%	32%	12%
18	CUSUMANO Neal	3%	17%	33%	30%	14%	3%	-
19	WANG jason	-	5%	19%	35%	31%	10%
20	MACKENZIE Calvin	4%	21%	36%	28%	10%	1%	-
21	DHANJAL Guntas	11%	37%	36%	13%	2%	-	-
22	VILEMAITIS Tadas	1%	8%	26%	37%	23%	5%
23	HAPP Braeden	8%	27%	34%	22%	8%	1%	-
24	MCDONALD Finn	1%	6%	21%	33%	27%	11%	2%
25	ANNUNZIATA Paolo	15%	36%	33%	14%	3%	-
26	GIORDANO Nicholas	9%	29%	36%	21%	5%	1%
27	KUMAR Arjun	1%	6%	21%	33%	26%	10%	2%
28	WONG Caleb W.	2%	14%	31%	31%	16%	4%	-
29	IMRAN Saaim	47%	41%	11%	1%	-	-	-
30	WHEELER Jackson	1%	11%	30%	36%	19%	4%	-
31	ANNUNZIATA Ciro	5%	27%	42%	21%	5%	-	-
32	KAPLLANI Beckam	19%	39%	30%	10%	2%	-	-
33	DORSEY Reid	5%	28%	40%	21%	5%	1%	-
33	ZAPPALA Nikolai	42%	40%	15%	3%	-	-	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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