Battle in Space City RYC/RJCC

Cadet Women's Épée

Sunday, April 10, 2022 at 12:00 PM

University of Houston - Campus Recreation and Wellness Center - Houston, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Birth Year

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5
1	SEBASTIAN Felicity A.	-	-	-	3%	26%	71%
2	ZHANG Victoria R.	-	-	3%	18%	43%	37%
3	BARG Daniella	1%	7%	27%	41%	20%	3%
3	PADHYE Tanishka	-	-	3%	19%	46%	32%
5	NEMETH Katherine	-	-	4%	24%	47%	24%
6	YAO KATHARINE	-	4%	23%	41%	27%	5%
7	KOZLOWSKI Maya M.	-	3%	17%	41%	34%	5%
8	SENYUVA Su	1%	6%	22%	37%	27%	7%
9	CALDERA Lexi I.	-	-	5%	25%	46%	24%
10	TOLSMA Chloe (CJ)	-	-	2%	17%	46%	35%
11	YAO Melinda	-	1%	6%	24%	42%	27%
12	HSIU Elizabeth	1%	10%	35%	39%	14%	1%
13	KORKIN Alice	1%	6%	22%	38%	27%	7%
14	SUN Renee R.	-	7%	26%	38%	24%	5%
15	YOUNG VIVIAN	16%	40%	33%	10%	1%	-
16	POPOVICI Alina B.	-	9%	32%	38%	18%	3%
17	KUDRYAVTSEVA Margarita	9%	31%	36%	19%	4%	-
18	YOU Joyce	56%	36%	8%	1%	-	-
19	COLINA UZCÁTEGUI gabriela	8%	29%	37%	21%	5%	-
20	ALI Alina	35%	47%	16%	2%	-	-
21	WALLER DEL VALLE Alexandra	9%	40%	39%	11%	1%	-
22	BARG Margaret	1%	8%	33%	41%	16%	1%
23	YERIAN Ayda	17%	41%	32%	9%	1%	-
24	BALAKRISHNAN Trisha	6%	35%	43%	14%	2%	-
25	VAN VACTER Madelynn	20%	40%	29%	10%	1%	-
26	LIU CHIYUN	9%	33%	38%	17%	3%	-
27	QIAN Irene	< 1%	3%	19%	45%	28%	5%
28	WALLER DEL VALLE Andrea	15%	39%	34%	11%	1%	-
29	MCCREIGHT Geneva	28%	47%	21%	4%	-	-
29	LIU sherine	60%	37%	3%	-	-	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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