Event Results
Arnold Fencing ClassicSurprise Map
Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | GEFELL Andrew P. | D V V V V V | V V V V V | 5.3 | 5 | -0.3 |
| 2 | SMITH Mitchell M. | V V V D V V | V V V V D | 5.4 | 5 | -0.4 |
| 3 | KOKKIN Jack S. | V V V V D V | V V V D | 3.7 | 5 | +1.3 |
| 3 | ARNIPALLI Shanvanth | V V V V V V | V V D | 4.0 | 6 | +2.0 |
| 5 | HANEY Vincent | V V V V V V | V D | 3.5 | 6 | +2.5 |
| 6 | WOODWARD Dylan P. | V V D V V V | V V D | 4.6 | 5 | +0.4 |
| 7 | CHENNURU Nischal | D V V V D D | V V D | 3.3 | 3 | -0.3 |
| 8 | CALKINS William H. | V D V D D V | V V D | 3.0 | 3 | - |
| 9 | D'ORAZIO Joseph | V V V V V V | D | 4.5 | 6 | +1.5 |
| 10 | MONTGOMERY Jadon T. | V D V V V V | D | 4.7 | 5 | +0.3 |
| 11 | DUDLEY LeByron | V V V V D D | V D | 4.2 | 4 | -0.2 |
| 12 | LIU Edward H. | V D D V V V | V D | 3.6 | 4 | +0.4 |
| 13 | MURZYN III Cj | V V D V V D | V D | 3.7 | 4 | +0.3 |
| 14 | LEFEVRE Colin B. | V D D V D V | V D | 3.7 | 3 | -0.7 |
| 15 | PARKER Timothy S. | D D D V V D | V D | 3.1 | 2 | -1.1 |
| 16 | HUBERS Leyton | D V D V D D | V D | 1.3 | 2 | +0.7 |
| 17 | WANG Jonathan | V D V D D V | D | 2.1 | 3 | +0.9 |
| 18 | DESHETLER Scott | D D D D V V | D | 1.3 | 2 | +0.7 |
| 19 | COLEMAN Joseph | D V V D D D | D | 3.4 | 2 | -1.4 |
| 20 | FARIAS Alec | D V D D V D | D | 1.7 | 2 | +0.3 |
| 21 | SCHARDINE James | D V D D D D | D | 2.4 | 1 | -1.4 |
| 22 | BORTHWICK Benjamin J. | D D D V D D | D | 2.2 | 1 | -1.2 |
| 23 | BORGERDING Callen | D D D D V D | D | 1.8 | 1 | -0.8 |
| 23 | DENISON Joseph | V D D D D D | D | 1.6 | 1 | -0.6 |
| 25 | JAWOROWSKI Matthew | D D D D V D | D | 2.4 | 1 | -1.4 |
| 26 | FORBES Wyatt | D D V D D D | D | 1.5 | 1 | -0.5 |
| 27 | CONN Jackson | D D D D V D | D | 1.3 | 1 | -0.3 |
| 28 | TUCKER Gabriel | D D D D D D | D | 0.9 | 0 | -0.9 |
| Color | Outcome | Difficulty | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |