Richmond Winter RYC/RJCC

Cadet Women's Épée

Sunday, February 13, 2022 at 8:00 AM

Greater Richmond Convention Center - Richmond, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	KORFONTA Jolie	-	-	-	4%	30%	66%
2	YANG Alisa	-	-	2%	14%	43%	41%
3	PAPADAKIS Lily	-	-	-	-	3%	26%	71%
3	GUMAGAY Erika L.	-	-	-	3%	17%	43%	37%
5	LEE Yedda	-	-	2%	12%	41%	45%
6	HONG Elaine	-	-	2%	12%	35%	38%	12%
7	DENG Annie	2%	16%	37%	33%	11%	1%
8	GOLART Alexis A.	-	8%	31%	40%	18%	2%
9	ZHAO Ivy	-	1%	6%	23%	39%	28%	4%
10	ZHU Serene M.	-	1%	7%	30%	44%	17%
11	LIU Nicole	-	1%	5%	21%	40%	28%	6%
12	PEELER Julia	-	-	2%	16%	49%	32%
13	WITTER Catherine A.	-	4%	20%	41%	29%	5%
13	VICKERMAN Aspen	11%	36%	38%	13%	2%	-
15	YOU Emily	-	-	2%	15%	47%	37%
16	SNYDER Kathryn	15%	38%	33%	12%	2%	-	-
17	PENHOET Evelyn	1%	7%	30%	45%	15%	1%
18	KUMAR Anusha	1%	11%	30%	35%	19%	4%	-
19	ALEXANDER Amelia	3%	18%	38%	31%	9%	1%
20	PINNAMANENI Drithi	-	4%	19%	39%	31%	8%
21	KIM Kailyn	15%	47%	30%	7%	1%	-
22	VICKERMAN Sofia	2%	14%	34%	34%	13%	2%	-
23	ERDMAN Giselle	4%	23%	41%	26%	5%	-
24	KEE Bea Isabelle	3%	23%	39%	26%	7%	1%
25	PLAZA-GASALLA Gloria	18%	45%	30%	7%	1%	-
26	VICKERMAN Lilly	1%	9%	27%	36%	22%	5%	-
27	MAGALSKI Mary	1%	7%	24%	37%	25%	6%	-
28	RHEINECKER Eleanora Grace	13%	34%	34%	16%	4%	-	-
29	KOPRUCU Deniz	2%	14%	35%	35%	13%	1%
30	NOH Rachel	29%	45%	22%	4%	-	-
31	BO GENESIS	25%	43%	25%	6%	1%	-	-
32	NIEMAN Aubrey	1%	12%	39%	37%	11%	1%
33	RHEINECKER Claire	15%	41%	34%	9%	1%	-
34	HABER Emily	57%	35%	8%	1%	-	-
35	ZAIDI Maira	56%	37%	6%	-	-	-
36	NIEMAN Anjolie	4%	22%	38%	27%	7%	1%	-
37	FORDER Isabel	22%	42%	28%	8%	1%	-	-
38	RASMUSSEN Annika	11%	33%	36%	17%	3%	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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