Richmond Winter RYC/RJCC

Y-14 Men's Épée

Sunday, February 13, 2022 at 12:00 PM

Greater Richmond Convention Center - Richmond, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	KARNAS Karol	-	-	2%	12%	31%	37%	16%
2	HEADRICK Lance	-	2%	11%	26%	34%	21%	5%
3	FISHMAN Rahm	-	1%	5%	18%	35%	31%	11%
3	ABBOUD Michael	-	-	1%	9%	39%	52%
5	LEE Aiden	1%	8%	27%	38%	22%	4%
6	SINGH Ravin	-	4%	18%	34%	30%	12%	2%
7	CHEN Brian	-	4%	15%	30%	31%	16%	3%
8	SINGH Aryaman	-	1%	5%	18%	35%	31%	10%
9	LEE JoonWon	-	-	4%	20%	43%	33%
10	MEGGERS Davin	9%	30%	37%	19%	4%	-
11	TIKHONOV Iliya	-	1%	6%	24%	42%	28%
12	TIKHONOV Daniel	-	2%	9%	25%	35%	24%	6%
13	GLENNON Sebastian J.	-	1%	6%	22%	36%	27%	8%
14	GANTSOUDES Isaac	2%	14%	33%	32%	15%	4%	-
15	SNYDER Ari	-	1%	9%	33%	44%	13%
16	LAM Alan	-	1%	7%	22%	34%	27%	8%
17	BUI Henry	2%	15%	38%	34%	10%	1%
18	HAN James	2%	17%	39%	32%	9%	1%
19	KANG EUNWOO	-	1%	5%	17%	34%	32%	12%
20	CHHU Allen	4%	22%	36%	26%	9%	2%	-
21	YU Jason	-	2%	14%	34%	37%	13%
22	CHUNG Andrew	2%	13%	34%	35%	14%	2%
23	KUPPUSAMY Kotravel	19%	41%	29%	9%	1%	-
24	MODANLOU Navid	27%	44%	23%	5%	1%	-
25	CARNALL Hunter	42%	43%	13%	2%	-	-
26	PETROW Zoryan	5%	22%	35%	26%	10%	2%	-
27	SAUNIER Cameron	-	4%	18%	34%	30%	12%	2%
28	WANG Lucas	-	4%	16%	32%	31%	14%	2%
29	ALI Farhan	2%	12%	32%	37%	16%	2%
30	ARMSTRONG TyLee	12%	37%	36%	13%	2%	-
30	AYOTTE James	10%	32%	36%	17%	4%	-
32	SIEDOW William	21%	39%	28%	10%	2%	-	-
33	RUIZ Jayden	18%	39%	31%	11%	2%	-
34	GRENKE Wyatt	5%	21%	34%	27%	11%	2%	-
35	LEE DoWon	5%	22%	34%	26%	10%	2%	-
36	HEADRICK Jack	-	3%	17%	36%	34%	10%
37	CHAWLA aarav	17%	39%	30%	11%	2%	-	-
38	HULL Liam	24%	43%	25%	7%	1%	-	-
39	BUI Ryan	29%	41%	22%	6%	1%	-	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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