The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Fortune Fencing SYC/RCC

Y-12 Women's Foil

Friday, March 18, 2022 at 4:00 PM

Ontario Convention Center - Hall B - Ontario, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LIU Joy Zhaoyi - - - - 1% 99%
2 MANIKTALA Prisha - - - 1% 9% 38% 52%
3 KIM Rachel - - - 1% 10% 38% 51%
3 CHEN Renee - - - - 3% 41% 56%
5 MCSHERRY Ava - 2% 12% 33% 38% 15%
6 HO Addison - 2% 13% 35% 37% 13%
7 REN Kayley - - 4% 16% 34% 33% 12%
8 YANG Audrey - - 3% 15% 34% 35% 13%
9 SUN Chloe - - - 3% 17% 42% 38%
10 FENG Grace - 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
11 HSU Kaylin - 1% 7% 25% 42% 25%
12 SAIFEE Lamya 1% 11% 32% 35% 17% 3% -
13 PENG Charlotte 1% 16% 36% 32% 13% 2%
14 SWANSON Alexa - - 6% 26% 44% 23%
15 OH Ceana - - 6% 27% 44% 23%
16 LUO Miranda - - 4% 28% 43% 21% 3%
17 ZHANG Soleil C. - - - - 9% 57% 33%
18 BEAVER Ava - - 1% 13% 39% 38% 9%
19 GAO Anne - 5% 23% 41% 26% 5%
20 BARTON Nanea - 2% 15% 41% 41% -
21 LENK Sophie - 4% 18% 37% 32% 9%
21 JOO Natalie - 1% 8% 28% 41% 22%
23 GUAN Adeline - 1% 5% 20% 36% 30% 8%
24 YUEN Elsie 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5% -
25 GUO Audrey - 4% 22% 41% 29% 5%
26 MENG Annabel - 5% 21% 38% 28% 7%
27 OROPEZA tamara - 2% 12% 31% 36% 17% 2%
28 DUAN Sophie - - 5% 31% 42% 19% 2%
29 ANDONIAN Lauren 24% 45% 25% 5% - -
30 TULYAG Sayda 5% 25% 40% 25% 5% -
31 WYNN Kylie - 3% 14% 32% 33% 15% 3%
32 ZHANG Ivy 3% 15% 32% 32% 16% 3% -
33 ZOU Ella - 1% 5% 19% 37% 31% 7%
34 LEVESQUE Brielle - 6% 23% 38% 26% 7%
35 KIM Sydney - 3% 18% 40% 35% 4% -
36 UHLIG Natalie 27% 45% 23% 4% - - -
37 HAN Mia 4% 22% 38% 27% 8% 1%
38 LI Alice 24% 43% 26% 6% - -
39 ZHANG Gwenyth 4% 23% 38% 26% 8% 1%
40 HEFLEY Karsyn 1% 6% 23% 38% 27% 6%
41 DHARWADKAR Ovee 5% 22% 35% 26% 10% 1% -
42 CHAN Ella 2% 16% 36% 34% 11% 1% -
43 CUI alivia 1% 7% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1%
44 DESAI Esha 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
45 PEDERSEN Haley 17% 37% 31% 12% 2% - -
46 CHAN Mila 3% 20% 39% 28% 9% 1% -
47 SAIFEE Zahra 5% 37% 46% 10% 1% - -
48 CHANG Victoria 12% 35% 36% 14% 2% - -
49 THERON Zoe 11% 35% 35% 15% 3% -
50 MANIMTIM Rachel 12% 35% 36% 15% 2% -
50 CHOI Sophie 5% 24% 41% 26% 5% -
52 WU Chingfei Amber 4% 20% 36% 29% 10% 1%
53 YU Sophie 41% 42% 15% 2% - -
54 POEI Lauren 2% 17% 39% 31% 9% 1%
55 ZHANG Constance 14% 34% 33% 15% 4% - -
56 KRYLTSOVA Eva 17% 40% 31% 11% 2% - -
57 LUCAS Ava 10% 46% 37% 7% - - -
58 YONG Rosalind 7% 30% 39% 19% 4% -
59 LIU Angelina 35% 47% 16% 2% - -
60 LIU Ariana 31% 43% 21% 4% - -
61 LEE LAUREN 1% 25% 45% 25% 3% - -
62 LI Joy 47% 41% 11% 1% - -
63 DENG Claire 29% 43% 22% 5% 1% - -
64 SAH Madeleine 63% 32% 5% - - - -
65 HUGHES Olivia 27% 46% 22% 5% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.