New Jersey Division Summer Nationals Qualifier

Y-14 Women's Saber

Sunday, April 3, 2022 at 9:15 AM

Durkan Fencing Academy - Garfield, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 KAPLAN Gabriela 100% 95% 72% 34% 8% 1%
2 ZHENG Sophia 100% 95% 70% 31% 6% -
3 GUGALA Hanna 100% 97% 81% 48% 16% 2%
3 UEMOTO Lynn 100% 98% 86% 54% 19% 3%
5 KIM Audrey 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 72%
6 BERNSTEIN Avery 100% 96% 73% 30% 4% -
7 LOURENCO Alexandra 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 35%
8 DAMBAL Sasha 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 22%
9 CROOKS Riley 100% 90% 59% 21% 3% -
10 MUHAMMAD Sahara 100% 97% 78% 41% 10% -
11 BABBITT Kayla 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 33%
12 RANJAN Diya 100% 80% 40% 11% 1% -
13 BAIK Sarah 100% 99% 84% 46% 12% 1%
14 KOCAK Ayda 100% 70% 25% 4% - -
15 QIAN-ALVES Amelia 100% 96% 76% 39% 10% 1%
16 BAIK Madeline 100% 89% 56% 19% 3% -
17 MACKAY Katherine 100% 99% 88% 54% 16% -
18 JOHNSON Adele 100% 95% 66% 25% 4% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.