AFM Youth Epee Cup - Event #2

Y-10 Men's Épée

Sunday, March 13, 2022 at 2:30 PM

AFM Sunnyvale - Sunnyvale, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MILLIKAN Aaron 100% 100% 94% 73% 36% 9% 1%
2 MANA Sameer 100% 95% 73% 38% 12% 2% -
3 JAMES Kaden 100% 96% 74% 37% 10% 1% -
3 JAO Aaron 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 26% 5%
5 BALUCAN Caelus 100% 97% 72% 26% 2%
6 SHI Michael 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 59% 19%
8 ROMAN Anton 100% 98% 81% 39% 5%
9 DING Max 100% 99% 88% 54% 16% 1%
10 GAUTAM Udyat 100% 95% 73% 37% 10% 1%
11 XIE Elon 100% 97% 80% 46% 14% 2%
12 QUAN Leo 100% 91% 46% 9% 1%
14 SRIKANTH Hariharan 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 37% 8%
16 SU Samuel 100% 100% 100% 92% 51%
18 LUO Alvin (Yueyang) 100% 69% 24% 4% < 1%
19 BALUCAN Gabriel 100% 75% 24% 3% -
21 WU Christopher 100% 100% 94% 60% 13%
22 WONG Kingston 100% 98% 84% 44% 10%
23 CONGISTRE John 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 15%
24 GUO Luke 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 3%
25 MA Weichu 100% 89% 58% 22% 4% -
26 LO Stefan 100% 40% 7% - -
28 TRAN Rhys 100% 67% 24% 5% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.