THE TAMPA CHALLENGE RYC/RJCC

Junior Men's Saber

Saturday, February 5, 2022 at 5:00 PM

Wiregrass Ranch Sports Campus - Wesley Chapel, FL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
1 LU Caleb Q. 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 17% 3%
2 LINDHOLM Oliver S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 17%
3 GREENBAUM Ian L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 15%
3 GHENEA George Philipe 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 33% 7%
5 EICHHORN Lukas H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 17%
6 DELARUE NELSON Y. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 15%
7 HONG Steven 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 11%
8 GUAN Luke 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 27% 5%
9 LANNAMAN Connor 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 6% 1% -
10 WU Richard 100% 99% 90% 64% 31% 9% 1% -
11 GRAINGER Graeme 100% 95% 68% 31% 8% 1% - -
12 MAY Griffin M. 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 27% 5%
13 ZHANG Ethan W. 100% 98% 86% 58% 26% 6% 1%
14 GUAN Dennis 100% 99% 91% 65% 30% 8% 1% -
15 BELL III Alfred (Tripp) R. 100% 86% 53% 21% 5% 1% -
16 VAUGHN Jason 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 17% 3% -
17 AN Damon 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 47% 16% 2%
18 DECK Tyson 100% 82% 45% 14% 2% - - -
19 CARTAGENA Caden A. 100% 98% 83% 48% 17% 3% - -
20 KUSANAGI Soshi 100% 55% 15% 2% - - - -
21 MAHAPATRA SAMARTH 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 12% 1%
22 OLIPHANT Holden 100% 85% 40% 9% 1% - -
23 SHI Ivan 100% 90% 55% 17% 3% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.