NEUSFA 6 Weapon D and Under

Div III Men's Épée

Sunday, May 22, 2022 at 9:00 AM

Worcester Fencing Club - Worcester, MA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SHA Michael 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 49% 14%
2 FERREIRA Noah J. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 12%
3 SMITH Troy H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 26%
3 BEALS Alden 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 21% 4%
5 OSTIGUY Cameron 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 16% 2%
6 MACNEIL Drew A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 27%
7 THOMPSON Ian 100% 98% 83% 50% 17% 3% -
8 BARR Samuel 100% 99% 95% 77% 46% 17% 3%
9 IORIO Matthew 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 18% 2%
10 MCCALL Aidan 100% 100% 98% 90% 66% 32% 7%
11 ZOU Xianyang 100% 98% 89% 64% 31% 9% 1%
12 HARE John R. 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 42% 8%
13 JIANG Ryan 100% 85% 49% 17% 3% - -
14 REINEKE Alexander 100% 96% 78% 47% 19% 4% -
15 MARINI Davide 100% 98% 89% 63% 30% 8% 1%
16 STEIN Philip 100% 95% 76% 44% 16% 3% -
17 TORRES Gianni 100% 100% 98% 90% 64% 28% 6%
18 WANG Justin 100% 99% 87% 53% 17% 2% -
19 HERZOG Frank 100% 98% 82% 47% 14% 2% -
20 ALVES PEREIRA Francisco Xavier 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 21% 2%
21 CHAPMAN Brynmor 100% 99% 92% 69% 36% 11% 1%
22 EANG Brynner 100% 99% 93% 68% 32% 7% 1%
23 MILGRAM Aaron 100% 97% 80% 48% 18% 3% -
24 MOELDERS Moritz 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 28% 6%
25 GRAYSON Joshua 100% 91% 62% 26% 6% 1% -
26 LIU Jeremiah W. 100% 79% 36% 9% 1% - -
27 CHU Wenxi 100% 85% 50% 17% 3% - -
28 HERZOG Michael 100% 100% 96% 82% 50% 18% 2%
29 HERNANDEZ Diana 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 32% 7%
30 REINEKE Gerhard 100% 91% 61% 26% 7% 1% -
31 RITTERSHAUS Bryce 100% 68% 26% 6% 1% - -
32 MILES Ronald D. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 14%
33 BUTTS Brendan 100% 80% 39% 11% 2% - -
34 SPRINGER Elijah 100% 88% 53% 20% 4% - -
35 WOLFORD Benjamin 100% 96% 72% 32% 8% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.