Garden State RYC

Y-14 Women's Saber

Saturday, April 9, 2022 at 10:45 AM

The Sportsplex at Metuchen - Metuchen, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	BERMAN Greta	-	3%	14%	35%	36%	12%
2	ZENG Sarah	-	3%	15%	34%	35%	13%
3	ZHANG Sophie	-	-	1%	8%	25%	40%	25%
3	CHIARELLI Valentina	-	-	1%	8%	25%	40%	25%
5	MUND Ruth	-	1%	9%	32%	41%	17%
6	LIU Yifei	-	4%	20%	39%	30%	8%
7	YOUNG Audrey	-	1%	8%	29%	42%	21%
8	FLATT Sophia	-	3%	14%	30%	33%	17%	3%
9	GUVEN Coco	-	1%	11%	32%	40%	16%
10	PROBASCO Leila	8%	29%	37%	21%	5%	-
11	KHOST Maeve	1%	6%	21%	33%	27%	10%	1%
12	CHOU Amy R.	-	4%	17%	33%	30%	13%	2%
13	HUANG Rachael	-	-	6%	24%	43%	27%
14	KNOBEL Sophia	-	6%	26%	40%	24%	5%
15	GOMERMAN Sophia	-	2%	13%	33%	37%	15%
16	BORGUETA Madison	18%	39%	30%	10%	2%	-
17	HU Anna	-	2%	10%	26%	35%	22%	5%
18	MONTORIO Lily M.	-	3%	17%	40%	32%	7%
19	HALPERIN Elizabeth H.	-	7%	29%	39%	21%	4%
20	ZHANG Emily	7%	29%	38%	20%	5%	-
21	LAURI Keira	13%	35%	33%	15%	3%	-
22	GUGALA Hanna	3%	17%	34%	31%	12%	2%
23	KRASOWITZ Lucy	5%	37%	39%	16%	3%	-
24	CROOKS Riley	1%	9%	25%	34%	23%	7%	1%
25	DAMBAL Sasha	-	3%	18%	38%	32%	9%
26	WANG yining	1%	9%	25%	35%	24%	6%
27	BUSH Bethany	1%	11%	35%	36%	15%	2%
28	SCHAIBLE Sofia L.	1%	8%	26%	36%	23%	5%
29	RANJAN Diya	21%	42%	27%	8%	1%	-	-
29	BAIREDDY Maya	23%	42%	26%	8%	1%	-	-
31	FUNG Iris	-	4%	18%	36%	32%	10%
32	HO Sophia	74%	24%	3%	-	-	-
33	LOURENCO Alexandra	-	5%	20%	36%	30%	9%
34	LIM Alexa J.	2%	14%	32%	32%	16%	4%	-
35	ZHENG Valentina	-	4%	18%	34%	30%	12%	2%
36	HUANG Doris	-	4%	16%	32%	31%	14%	2%
37	MUHAMMAD Sahara	13%	46%	32%	9%	1%	-
38	PROZUMENT Elizabeth	25%	41%	26%	7%	1%	-
39	CHAN Madeleine V.	2%	11%	28%	33%	20%	6%	1%
40	SRINATH Lyra A.	9%	29%	35%	20%	5%	1%
41	LI Alexis	13%	35%	34%	15%	3%	-
42	BEN SHAHAR-PYKE Lola Rae	5%	27%	42%	22%	3%	-
43	NAYAK Antara	60%	34%	5%	-	-	-
44	BAIK Madeline	38%	41%	17%	4%	-	-	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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