The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Take Action

Garden State RYC

Y-12 Men's Foil

Saturday, April 9, 2022 at 2:00 PM

The Sportsplex at Metuchen - Metuchen, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 GHEDINI Luca - - - 4% 21% 47% 28%
2 SIMONOV Timofey - - - 3% 18% 46% 32%
3 HONG Logan - 6% 24% 39% 26% 5%
3 RUIZ ALMEIDA Muhammad - - 2% 14% 40% 44%
5 TANG Terry - - - 4% 20% 42% 33%
6 CHO Xzander - 3% 17% 41% 32% 7%
7 ZHAO Adam - - 2% 16% 43% 38%
8 ZHANG Lucas - 5% 24% 40% 25% 6% -
9 FOGELSON Hugh - 1% 9% 27% 37% 22% 4%
10 HOU Gaven - 1% 5% 21% 37% 29% 7%
11 LEE Charles T 1% 12% 33% 36% 16% 2%
12 SHANNON Jack 6% 30% 42% 19% 3% -
13 SICAT Justin 3% 31% 41% 21% 4% - -
14 CHENG Logan - 3% 16% 37% 33% 10% 1%
15 ZHANG ethan 1% 7% 23% 35% 25% 8% 1%
16 WANG Ralph 36% 44% 17% 2% - -
17 MOREA Anderson 5% 24% 38% 24% 7% 1% -
18 WONG Jacob W. 1% 7% 27% 39% 22% 3%
19 O'LEARY Colin 1% 16% 39% 32% 10% 1% -
20 BLACK Henry 15% 41% 33% 10% 1% -
21 KOVACS Harrison - 1% 11% 36% 40% 12%
22 REN Ryan 11% 37% 36% 14% 2% -
23 SUNDSTROM Wren 45% 41% 12% 2% - -
24 CONVERSO-PARSONS Alexander 33% 42% 20% 5% 1% - -
25 KRZYWON Dylan 76% 22% 2% - - - -
26 LEE Thomas 6% 28% 39% 21% 5% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.