The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

South Coast Mary Rafanelli RYC/RJC

Y-14 Women's Saber

Saturday, January 15, 2022 at 9:30 AM

Pasadena Convention Center - Main Ballroom - Pasadena, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ZHANG XUANYI - - - 5% 24% 44% 26%
2 CHRISTOTHOULOU Olympia C. - - 1% 7% 27% 44% 21%
3 RAMIREZ Mirka A. - - 3% 16% 39% 33% 9%
3 ARNOLD Hali - - - 2% 16% 45% 36%
5 YANG Lea - - - - 5% 32% 62%
6 LEE Lauren - - 1% 10% 33% 41% 16%
7 CHAN Jolene 1% 10% 28% 36% 21% 4%
8 KIM Elyssa 5% 23% 38% 26% 8% 1% -
9 HITOMI Nadya 1% 7% 24% 37% 26% 6%
10 YAO Rainie - 4% 18% 37% 30% 9% 1%
11 BROCK Sydney - 1% 5% 21% 42% 31%
12 SAAD Alia 1% 11% 36% 37% 14% 2% -
13 WANG Jingming 7% 26% 37% 23% 6% 1%
14 GOLOVITSER Maya - 3% 17% 37% 32% 10% 1%
15 SOEHARTONO Jessica - 5% 24% 41% 24% 5% -
16 JENSEN Katrina 45% 44% 10% 1% - - -
17 NELLIGAN Hutton - 4% 21% 39% 28% 7% -
18 BAO Jingxuan 18% 43% 29% 8% 1% - -
19 WANG Peijia - - 2% 12% 36% 42% 9%
20 BAIRD Kaleah 8% 36% 39% 15% 2% - -
21 ARMSTRONG Katherine 14% 36% 33% 14% 3% -
22 HAN Emma 13% 38% 34% 12% 2% - -
23 POIRIER Hailey 29% 43% 22% 5% - - -
24 MUNGUIA Mila - 5% 21% 38% 28% 8% 1%
25 FITZER Katharine 60% 34% 6% - - - -
26 KORINTH Jacqueline 3% 25% 44% 23% 5% - -
27 KIM Eliza 10% 32% 36% 18% 4% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.