Event Results
AAFA: Up First Open (SANCTIONED!)Surprise Map
Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | MCRAE Bruce | V V V V V | V V V | 3.7 | 5 | +1.3 |
| 2 | GUEVARRA Gabriel (Gabe) W. | V V V V V | V V D | 2.4 | 5 | +2.6 |
| 3 | MOOREFIELD Holden C. | D D V V V | V V D | 3.3 | 3 | -0.3 |
| 3 | TSAI Caleb | V V V D D | V V D | 2.6 | 3 | +0.4 |
| 5 | BERRIOS Andres | V V V D V | D | 1.9 | 4 | +2.1 |
| 6 | HOPEL Seth | V D V D V | D | 3.3 | 3 | -0.3 |
| 7 | DICICCO Liam | V V D V D | V D | 2.8 | 3 | +0.2 |
| 8 | BUTFILOSKI Cooper B. | D D D D V | V D | 1.9 | 1 | -0.9 |
| 9 | MCRAE Steve | D D V V D | D | 2.6 | 2 | -0.6 |
| 10 | BROADWATER Nathaniel | V D D D D | D | 2.7 | 1 | -1.7 |
| 11 | FERRARO Nicholas | D D D D D | D | 2.0 | 0 | -2.0 |
| 12 | ODEA Ryan | D D D D D | D | 0.7 | 0 | -0.7 |
| Color | Outcome | Difficulty | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |