The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

2022 Winter Thrust RYC/RJCC

Y-12 Women's Saber

Saturday, February 5, 2022 at 10:30 AM

ROCKLAND COMMUNITY COLLEGE - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ZENG Sarah - 5% 21% 36% 29% 8%
2 YOUNG Charlotte G. - - - 3% 15% 40% 42%
3 BUSH Bethany - 1% 8% 24% 35% 25% 7%
3 CHIARELLI Valentina - - - 1% 9% 34% 56%
5 MYAT Chloe 1% 8% 28% 38% 21% 3%
6 MALEK Zolie - 1% 8% 27% 41% 23%
7 HALPERIN Elizabeth H. - 3% 13% 31% 35% 17% 2%
8 FUNG Iris - 5% 23% 38% 27% 6%
9 BORGUETA Madison 4% 23% 40% 25% 7% 1%
10 CHAVAN Arya 2% 15% 33% 32% 14% 3% -
11 LIU Yifei - 1% 10% 32% 40% 17%
12 DAMBAL Sasha - - 2% 12% 31% 37% 17%
13 GUGALA Hanna - 4% 19% 37% 31% 9%
14 DUTA Lyra 1% 6% 23% 38% 26% 6%
15 VAISH Anusha 14% 34% 32% 16% 4% 1% -
16 PALMIERI Giuliana M. 4% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2% -
17 CHIANG Melissa - 4% 17% 36% 33% 10%
18 LEOU Korina - 2% 11% 27% 35% 21% 4%
19 JUILLERAT Elina 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
20 GONG Joy 4% 19% 34% 29% 11% 2% -
21 BERRIOS Catalina 2% 17% 37% 32% 11% 1%
22 GONZALEZ Veronika - 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
23 REDA Sophie 6% 24% 35% 25% 9% 1% -
24 IANNUZZI Lucy 28% 42% 23% 6% 1% -
25 MANSPERGER Gia 6% 26% 37% 23% 7% 1%
26 YANNOPOULOS Pompie 1% 7% 21% 33% 27% 10% 1%
27 FOSS Persephone - 3% 13% 30% 33% 17% 3%
27 CASTELO Soleil 1% 6% 20% 34% 28% 10% 1%
29 NARAYANAN Sinduja 8% 29% 37% 20% 5% 1% -
30 RANDALL-COLLINS Shea M. 12% 36% 35% 15% 3% -
31 MARGULIS Roxana 43% 41% 14% 2% - -
32 KNOX Evelynn 10% 33% 36% 17% 4% - -
33 HARRIS Sydney 2% 22% 42% 27% 7% 1%
34 KESSLER Amelia 30% 42% 22% 5% 1% -
35 HURÉ Maïa 11% 33% 35% 17% 4% - -
36 GARBUTT Chloe < 1% - 4% 21% 44% 31%
37 BORDUCCI Madeleine 4% 25% 43% 23% 5% -
38 SALANDY Lilly 3% 21% 37% 28% 10% 2% -
39 LOPRESTI Sabrina 4% 28% 39% 22% 6% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.