2022 Winter Thrust RYC/RJCC

Y-12 Women's Épée

Sunday, February 6, 2022 at 12:00 PM

ROCKLAND COMMUNITY COLLEGE - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 PRESMAN Aerin 100% 100% 94% 72% 34% 6%
2 PROFIS Liora 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 40%
3 CAFASSO Natalya 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 33%
3 KUMAR Eva 100% 100% 100% 97% 66%
5 SU Evelyn 100% 100% 97% 80% 37%
6 MEYER Rebecca 100% 93% 65% 26% 5% -
7 RICHARDSON Meredith 100% 100% 98% 78% 18%
8 SUN Zeyu 100% 97% 75% 36% 9% 1%
9 LEE Claire 100% 98% 83% 46% 11%
10 NAZAROVA Sanam 100% 96% 66% 13% 1%
11 JI Catherine 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 8%
12 GONG Wanqiao 100% 82% 37% 7% 1%
13 PAN Angela 100% 97% 78% 41% 11% 1%
14 BOROTKO Katerina 100% 90% 53% 16% 2%
15 WONG Sydney 100% 85% 48% 16% 3% -
16 WANG Cecilia 100% 89% 56% 20% 3% -
17 BISONO Valentina 100% 67% 24% 4% - -
18 LEDON Alessandra 100% 73% 23% 3% -
19 MISHIMA Audrey 100% 100% 95% 74% 35% 7%
20 ZHANG Claire 100% 57% 11% 1% -
20 RAO Ananya 100% 91% 54% 15% 1%
22 ZHU madeline 100% 96% 70% 27% 4% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.