2022 OFC Summer Challenge

Div III Mixed Épée

Sunday, July 31, 2022 at 3:30 PM

OLYMPIC FENCERS CLUB - Johns Creek, GA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KIM Daniel 100% 99% 89% 57% 18% 2%
2 WANG Bryan 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 11%
3 ZHANG Eric 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 27% 5%
3 CUI Jack 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 7%
5 PARK Judy 100% 100% 93% 68% 30% 6%
6 MARSHALL Wesley 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 52%
7 HAN Ethan 100% 99% 94% 72% 36% 8%
8 THUN William 100% 98% 81% 45% 14% 2%
9 CHANG Shane 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 8%
10 LIN Kason 100% 100% 94% 69% 27% 3%
11 KUCIA Michael J. 100% 100% 97% 84% 50% 14%
12 GUDAPATI Rahul 100% 100% 99% 91% 56% 13%
13 LY Gabriel 100% 96% 73% 35% 9% 1%
14 WRIGHT Alex 100% 98% 86% 55% 21% 3%
15 LEE Daehyeon 100% 73% 24% 3% - -
16 YANAMANDRA Sidhansh 100% 99% 90% 62% 26% 4%
17 SCHERNIKAU Jack 100% 100% 96% 78% 40% 7%
18 ZHOU Chuangming 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 23%
19 NGUYEN Hubert 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 21% 3%
20 MOON Seojung 100% 97% 76% 38% 9% -
21 KRIEGER Jack 100% 98% 81% 39% 8% 1%
21 ILENRE Roni 100% 74% 32% 7% 1% -
23 MIHILL Margaret 100% 76% 29% 5% 1% - -
24 BYBEE Lucy J. 100% 99% 88% 60% 25% 4%
25 CHOI Kayden 100% 99% 90% 61% 22% 3%
26 CHOI Jayden 100% 94% 69% 32% 7% 1%
27 MAI Ryan 100% 99% 88% 51% 15% 2% -
28 NOE Hyeyoon(Lucy) 100% 87% 54% 21% 4% - -
29 CHASTAIN Allie 100% 59% 17% 2% - -
30 CHOI David 100% 49% 11% 1% - -
31 KIM Sangone 100% 76% 34% 8% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.