March NAC

Vet-40 Men's Épée

Sunday, March 6, 2022 at 8:00 AM

Richmond, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 SPRINGER Michael 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 4%
2 MACZIK Adam W. 100% 100% 100% 96% 65%
3 ROSTAL Scott E. 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 23%
3 PHO Eric 100% 99% 91% 61% 23% 3%
5 MORENO BRIONES Patricio A. 100% 100% 100% 95% 69% 19%
6 YAO Shun 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 5%
7 CHENG Thomas 100% 100% 91% 50% 8%
8 GERSEN Jacob 100% 77% 34% 7% 1% -
9 OZANNE Jeffrey S. 100% 100% 87% 42% 6%
10 BARTLETT Jonathan R. 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 29%
11 LUO Aaron 100% 96% 73% 36% 9% 1%
11 KIM Jeff 100% 68% 27% 6% 1% -
13 WEIDMAN Jess 100% 20% 1% - -
14 STOCK Jordan 100% 73% 28% 5% - -
15 LIN Kimball 100% 96% 77% 41% 12% 1%
16 HESS Marc F. 100% 93% 37% 5% -
17 RUSKIN David I. 100% 98% 83% 46% 12% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.