March NAC

Y-12 Women's Saber

Sunday, March 6, 2022 at 1:00 PM

Richmond, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HUAI Delilah 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 26%
2 CHIARELLI Valentina 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 35%
3 BERMAN greta 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 21%
3 HU Anna 100% 100% 94% 75% 41% 13% 2%
5 ARNOLD Hali 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 65% 25%
6 SENOGLU Irmak 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 19%
7 YOUNG Charlotte G. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 21%
8 KRIVOSHEEV Alexandra 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 47%
9 ZHANG XUANYI 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 40%
10 KURAEVA Vasilisa 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 22%
11 KINKADE Ellie 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 21% 3%
12 ZENG Sarah 100% 100% 100% 94% 72% 29%
13 MALEK Zolie 100% 98% 82% 47% 13%
14 VINOGOROVA Sofiia 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 30%
15 PANTALEON-MAZOLA Amari 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 13% 1%
16 SHEARER Alena 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 21% 3%
17 MERCHANT Aishwarya 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 27% 5%
18 GOLDIN Nina 100% 98% 88% 62% 30% 8% 1%
19 BERRIOS Catalina 100% 99% 94% 75% 43% 14% 2%
20 WEI JoyAnn 100% 100% 95% 80% 50% 19% 3%
21 TENG EMMA 100% 99% 94% 74% 41% 13% 2%
22 DANTULURI Shalini 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 6%
23 DHAR Layla 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 18% 2%
24 FERNANDEZ Martina 100% 99% 89% 59% 22% 3%
25 HAMMERSTROM Aria 100% 96% 72% 34% 8% 1%
26 CHAN Jolene 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 16%
27 LIU Kelly 100% 100% 98% 89% 65% 32% 7%
28 CHAN Madeleine V. 100% 98% 84% 53% 21% 4% -
29 HSU leah 100% 99% 91% 68% 35% 10% 1%
30 LIU Yifei 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 13%
31 CHIANG Melissa 100% 95% 74% 41% 14% 3% -
32 MYAT Chloe 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 6%
33 GAUTAM Sahana 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 41% 8%
34 WANG Callie 100% 99% 94% 73% 39% 12% 1%
35 SHEN Emily 100% 98% 83% 51% 20% 4% -
36 CHAVAN Arya 100% 95% 75% 41% 14% 2% -
37 LEE Tammy 100% 89% 55% 20% 4% - -
38 GONZALEZ Veronika 100% 99% 91% 67% 34% 9% 1%
39 RANDALL-COLLINS Shea M. 100% 97% 74% 35% 9% 1%
40 PALMIERI Giuliana M. 100% 96% 73% 36% 10% 1% -
41 FUNG Iris 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 37% 7%
42 LOO Kaitlyn 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 12%
43 TA-ZHOU Emma 100% 93% 63% 24% 5% - -
44 BERNARD Kathryn 100% 97% 80% 44% 11%
45 XIONG Alina 100% 99% 91% 69% 35% 10% 1%
46 CROOKS Riley 100% 79% 39% 10% 1%
47 FAVO Isabella 100% 91% 60% 23% 4%
48 CASTELO Soleil 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 9% 1%
49 BORGUETA Madison 100% 98% 80% 45% 14% 2% -
50 KANG Ellie 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 4%
51 STONE Coral 100% 98% 85% 57% 25% 6% 1%
52 MANSPERGER Gia 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 3% -
53 LEOU Korina 100% 97% 84% 55% 23% 5% 1%
54 MARAGH Farrah E. 100% 97% 79% 45% 16% 3% -
55 BLAKE Anna 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 17% 2%
56 MEYERSON Michelle 100% 99% 93% 70% 35% 9% 1%
57 HALPERIN Elizabeth H. 100% 97% 81% 50% 20% 5% -
58 DAVIDOVA Kira 100% 46% 10% 1% - -
59 GUGALA Hanna 100% 98% 85% 51% 17% 2%
60 FAN Alexandria 100% 97% 74% 34% 8% 1%
61 BAO Jingxuan 100% 53% 14% 2% - - -
62 ROOPRAI Amarjot 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 13% 2%
63 WANG JiaQi 100% 95% 73% 36% 10% 1% -
64 KU Alathea-Joy 100% 96% 79% 47% 18% 4% -
65 MUNGUIA Mila 100% 95% 73% 38% 12% 2% -
66 TONG Laurie 100% 91% 60% 24% 5% 1% -
67 FOSS Persephone 100% 97% 78% 40% 11% 1%
68 HAN Emma 100% 54% 14% 2% - -
69 GONG Joy 100% 96% 78% 46% 16% 3% -
70 LIANG Claire 100% 98% 87% 56% 22% 4% -
71 NEMORIN Rei 100% 92% 64% 30% 8% 1% -
72 HILD Anya 100% 73% 31% 7% 1% - -
73 WANG YueHan 100% 98% 80% 44% 13% 2% -
74 YANG Shanzhen 100% 74% 32% 7% 1% - -
75 BUSH Bethany 100% 96% 76% 39% 9%
76 DHAR Rana 100% 90% 61% 27% 7% 1% -
76 SEVASTOPULO Sahra 100% 76% 37% 11% 2% - -
78 WENG Amber 100% 82% 45% 15% 3% - -
79 WANG Jiayi 100% 61% 21% 4% - - -
80 HO Sophia 100% 48% 11% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.