Fortune Fencing Summer RYC/RJCC

Y-10 Men's Épée

Saturday, August 27, 2022 at 8:00 AM

Ontario Convention Center - Hall A & B - Ontario, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 YAO Tristan 100% 99% 89% 65% 31% 8% 1%
2 WU Nathan 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 22%
3 CHEN Aiden 100% 99% 91% 69% 36% 11% 1%
3 MA kevin 100% 94% 72% 38% 12% 2% -
5 DING Max 100% 97% 82% 49% 16% 2% -
6 KIM Evan 100% 84% 45% 13% 2% -
7 ENG Kyler 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 55%
8 ZHANG Chaoyi(Joey) 100% 100% 99% 90% 56% 13%
9 MOSLEY Wally 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 24% 4%
10 RONG Marcus 100% 86% 50% 16% 2% -
11 LI Stephen 100% 94% 70% 35% 11% 2% -
12 XUE Michael 100% 96% 80% 48% 19% 4% -
13 MA Weichu 100% 98% 84% 52% 20% 4% -
14 LI Ryan 100% 98% 88% 61% 27% 6% 1%
15 DU Evan 100% 92% 63% 25% 5% -
16 SHIH Derek 100% 94% 69% 30% 6% -
17 TUBALTSEV Evan 100% 99% 91% 60% 18% 2%
18 POST Alexander 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 17%
19 SHOURIE Seth 100% 86% 49% 15% 2% -
20 WONG Kyle 100% 100% 98% 86% 49% 8%
21 SHOURIE Neel 100% 99% 90% 65% 32% 9% 1%
22 WU MiEr 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 17%
23 LUO Alvin Y. 100% 96% 77% 40% 11% 1%
24 KHUSHRAJ Rohan 100% 85% 50% 19% 4% - -
25 MATUSOW Brandon 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 21% 3%
26 LIU Aiden 100% 99% 92% 68% 34% 10% 1%
27 LIU Alrik SiWei 100% 98% 87% 59% 26% 7% 1%
28 WANG Mason 100% 100% 98% 85% 56% 22% 4%
29 HWANG Matthew 100% 98% 85% 49% 14% 1%
30 DAI Jason 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 21% 4%
31 SUN Jiarui 100% 99% 91% 62% 23% 2%
32 LIN Bryan 100% 95% 73% 38% 12% 2% -
33 DAI Bo 100% 84% 49% 18% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.