Fortune Fencing Summer RYC/RJCC

Y-10 Women's Saber

Saturday, August 27, 2022 at 8:00 AM

Ontario Convention Center - Hall A & B - Ontario, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 LI Tiffany 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 39%
2 NGUYEN Summer 100% 100% 94% 70% 30% 4%
3 HU Ashley 100% 76% 31% 5% < 1% -
3 SHI Maxine 100% 89% 58% 23% 5% -
5 CHANG Kylie 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 36%
6 DIMAPILIS JHEAVEN 100% 94% 66% 26% 4% -
7 RUSMEVICHIENTONG Lyla 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 28%
8 HWANG Sophie 100% 84% 34% 2% - -
9 CAI Joanna 100% 99% 93% 69% 32% 7%
10 DUDNICK Caitlin 100% 97% 81% 49% 18% 3%
11 FAN Tina 100% 97% 80% 45% 13% 1%
12 PAN Grace 100% 100% 99% 93% 65% 21%
13 LONG Chloe 100% 99% 90% 60% 19%
14 CHENG Zijuan 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 11%
15 LONG Jessie 100% 100% 94% 55% 8% -
16 HAYHOE Tara 100% 87% 46% 13% 1% -
17 MATSUMOTO ELLE 100% 100% 87% 45% 9%
18 GUO YUKI 100% 95% 69% 28% 5% -
19 HU olivia 100% 61% 17% 2% -
20 WANG Makayla 100% 99% 87% 54% 16%
21 CHENG Anna 100% 100% 94% 72% 31% 4%
22 CHANG Kaitlyn 100% 100% 99% 91% 55% 14%
23 TALLARICO Isabella 100% 95% 49% 11% 1%
24 CAO Kim 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 3%
25 WANG April 100% 99% 86% 51% 16% 2%
26 KOU Nicole 100% 67% 24% 5% - -
27 CHEN Claire 100% 99% 82% 43% 10% 1%
28 CUI Andrea 100% 93% 66% 30% 7% -
29 LIU Anya 100% 60% 18% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.