Fortune Fencing Summer RYC/RJCC

Y-14 Women's Foil

Saturday, August 27, 2022 at 11:30 AM

Ontario Convention Center - Hall A & B - Ontario, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 VO Bao-Vy 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 20%
2 PENG Serena 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 66% 19%
3 HAN Ashley 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 35%
3 GU Maggie Runlin 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 42%
5 SAIFEE Lamya 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 22% 3%
6 REN Kayley 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 7%
7 HAN Crystal 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 45%
8 ZHANG Soleil C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 80% 33%
9 GUAN Adeline 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 52% 12%
10 SWANSON Alexa 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 31% 4%
11 CHEN Chloe I. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 55%
12 YANG Audrey 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 36% 7%
13 HO Addison 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 7%
14 CASTANEDA Keira 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 77% 28%
15 TAO Ann 100% 99% 91% 63% 26% 6% -
16 LENK Sophie 100% 100% 94% 75% 42% 13% 2%
17 CARVAJAL Sofia 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 6% < 1%
18 MORALES Paulina 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 21% 3%
19 DUAN Sophie 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 29% 4%
20 SHUM Maya 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 9%
21 ZHANG Ivy 100% 100% 96% 75% 30% 5% -
22 DENG Melissa 100% 100% 95% 73% 37% 9% 1%
23 WYNN Kylie 100% 100% 92% 65% 28% 6% -
24 BOLES Amanda X. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 25%
25 XIE Su 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 46% 13%
26 HSU Kaylin 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 27%
27 YONG Rosalind 100% 96% 74% 38% 11% 1% -
28 ZHANG Alina 100% 98% 84% 51% 17% 2% -
29 LEVESQUE Brielle 100% 99% 91% 65% 31% 9% 1%
30 HAN Gian 100% 100% 93% 67% 30% 7% -
31 TUAN Sophie 100% 83% 41% 9% 1% - -
32 MENG Annabel 100% 99% 88% 59% 23% 5% -
33 LUO Miranda 100% 100% 100% 94% 70% 27% 3%
34 KIM Sydney 100% 99% 93% 66% 23% 3% -
35 GOEL Riyana 100% 90% 52% 16% 3% - -
36 HAN Mia 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 1% -
37 CHANG Janelle 100% 82% 43% 12% 2% - -
38 PENG Charlotte 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 24% 4%
39 FUNG Sarafina 100% 90% 46% 11% 1% - -
40 GUO Lily 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 13% 1%
41 YANG Luna 100% 100% 97% 80% 43% 12% 1%
42 KRYLTSOVA Eva 100% 98% 84% 49% 14% 2% -
43 LIU Angelina 100% 77% 32% 5% - - -
44 TULYAG Sayda 100% 81% 34% 7% 1% - -
45 UHLIG Natalie 100% 70% 26% 4% - - -
46 LIU Ariana 100% 79% 40% 11% 2% - -
47 DESAI Esha 100% 91% 59% 23% 5% 1% -
48 LAY Apollonia 100% 100% 84% 48% 15% 2% -
49 GUO Audrey 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% - -
50 QURESHI Zoya 100% 98% 70% 18% 2% - -
51 MANIMTIM Rachel 100% 83% 40% 7% - - -
51 HERNANDEZ RUIZ Valentina 100% 92% 63% 25% 5% - -
51 LEE LAUREN 100% 45% 9% 1% - - -
54 HUGHES Olivia 100% 44% 8% 1% - - -
55 SAH Madeleine 100% 5% - - - - -
56 CHU Felicity 100% 64% 23% 4% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.