Fortune Fencing Summer RYC/RJCC

Y-10 Women's Foil

Saturday, August 27, 2022 at 3:00 PM

Ontario Convention Center - Hall A & B - Ontario, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 DUAN Sophie 100% 100% 99% 86% 34% 5%
2 SAIFEE Zahra 100% 93% 65% 27% 5% -
3 NAYGAS Alexandra 100% 99% 87% 50% 14% 2%
3 ZHANG Viviana 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 82%
5 LI Joy 100% 96% 77% 42% 12% 1%
5 DENG Claire 100% 99% 91% 55% 8% < 1%
7 MA Isabelle 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% 1%
8 SOE Hayleigh 100% 100% 97% 79% 42% 10%
9 CHANG Lydia 100% 100% 99% 85% 43% 4%
10 RUI Jessie 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 29%
11 LI Alice 100% 81% 34% 7% 1% -
12 ZEE Savannah 100% 93% 67% 30% 6% -
13 ZHANG Elizabeth 100% 93% 67% 31% 7% 1%
14 LIM Kensie 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 31%
15 PARK Lauren 100% 95% 73% 38% 11% 1%
16 KENSICKI Phoebe 100% 100% 98% 85% 46% 4%
17 KIM Natalie 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 22%
18 YU Sophie 100% 96% 73% 33% 7% -
19 LEE Zoe 100% 98% 84% 52% 18% 3%
20 LIM Kora 100% 87% 49% 13% 1% -
21 ZHOU Joi 100% 81% 41% 11% 1% -
22 WONG charlotte 100% 67% 25% 5% - -
23 DESAI Zoya 100% 99% 92% 63% 20% 2%
24 AI Mirabelle 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 15%
25 BENNYHOFF Myla 100% 99% 91% 62% 23% 3%
26 WANG Doreen 100% 69% 26% 4% - -
27 SAIFEE Sakina 100% 95% 71% 33% 8% 1%
28 LIU Celia 100% 80% 30% 5% - -
29 SUN Sylvia 100% 99% 86% 49% 14% 1%
30 LIU Doris-Zihan Zhou 100% 99% 91% 62% 20% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.