Fortune Fencing Summer RYC/RJCC

Y-12 Women's Saber

Sunday, August 28, 2022 at 3:00 PM

Ontario Convention Center - Hall A & B - Ontario, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ZHANG XUANYI 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 58% 15%
2 LIN Elaine 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 37% 8%
3 LEI Zitong (Meya) 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 40% 9%
3 TENG EMMA 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 14% 2%
5 GAIKWAD Ashmiee 100% 100% 96% 76% 41% 12% 1%
6 LEE Irene 100% 98% 84% 52% 20% 4% -
7 WANG Jiayi 100% 45% 10% 1% - < 1% -
8 SUNG Isabella 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 25% 3%
9 WU Daisy 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 34%
10 LIU kai yin aria 100% 88% 53% 19% 3% - -
11 NING Lynn 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 30% 6%
12 CAI Joanna 100% 98% 87% 60% 27% 6% 1%
13 CAI Veronica 100% 99% 88% 60% 26% 6% 1%
14 LONG Jessie 100% 99% 89% 62% 29% 8% 1%
15 TONG Laurie 100% 86% 51% 18% 3% - -
16 LI Tiffany 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 16% 2%
17 HSIEH Lucia 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 32% 6%
18 JOHNSON Heaven 100% 100% 97% 84% 57% 25% 5%
19 VENNE Sophie 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1% -
20 SHEN Elise 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 4% -
21 GONG suri 100% 96% 78% 46% 17% 3% -
22 LONG Chloe 100% 99% 91% 65% 30% 7% 1%
23 DANG Madeleine 100% 96% 71% 32% 7% 1% -
24 DING Jolie 100% 100% 95% 74% 37% 10% 1%
25 GROSSMAN Elizabeth 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 23% 2%
26 STAPLEY Claire 100% 98% 87% 61% 28% 7% 1%
27 WANG Makayla 100% 96% 80% 48% 19% 4% -
27 ROXWORTHY Chloe 100% 86% 52% 20% 4% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.