2022 BFC Season Kick-Off

Senior Mixed Épée

Sunday, August 28, 2022 at 12:00 PM

Birmingham Fencing Club - Birmingham, AL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 ELLIOTT Wyatt 100% 98% 82% 45% 12% 1%
2 SMITH Andrew 100% 100% 100% 94% 71% 26%
3 PATIL Amulya 100% 98% 85% 52% 17% 2%
3 NAIK Saininad 100% 100% 95% 70% 24%
5 ARMISTEAD Jack Riley 100% 100% 100% 99% 78% 22%
6 KERTESZ Stefan G. 100% 95% 68% 28% 5% -
7 KERTESZ Gabriel E. 100% 89% 54% 16% 2% -
8 ALLEY Everett T 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 5%
9 WEBB Jacob T. 100% 100% 87% 47% 11%
10 BROWN Hannah 100% 100% 94% 73% 37% 8%
11 RESTER Christopher 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 12%
12 RAY William 100% 97% 79% 46% 16% 2%
13 BROWN Matt 100% 95% 68% 26% 4%
14 PALMER Justin 100% 97% 78% 40% 9%
15 PARCELEWICZ John M. 100% 99% 87% 52% 16% 2%
16 MACALUSO Matthew 100% 64% 21% 3% - -
17 ALLEY Mary Ellis 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 7%
18 BLEAU Benjamin 100% 100% 95% 72% 33% 6%
19 CORDOVA Colin 100% 58% 16% 2% - -
20 ETHRIDGE Christopher 100% 100% 95% 73% 32% 5%
21 WENTWORTH Ashley 100% 43% 7% - -
22 REYNOLDS Jeremiah 100% 85% 50% 17% 3% -
23 SMITH Davidson 100% 96% 75% 34% 6% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.