2022 BFC Season Kick-Off

Div II Mixed Épée

Sunday, August 28, 2022 at 2:30 PM

Birmingham Fencing Club - Birmingham, AL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 ARMISTEAD Jack Riley 100% 100% 100% 94% 56%
2 WEBB Jacob T. 100% 100% 99% 88% 30%
3 SMITH Andrew 100% 100% 97% 77% 22%
3 BROWN Hannah 100% 95% 61% 17% 1%
5 ELLIOTT Wyatt 100% 100% 99% 87% 51% 13%
6 KERTESZ Stefan G. 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 7%
7 ALLEY Everett T 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 22%
8 PATIL Amulya 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 21%
9 PARCELEWICZ John M. 100% 98% 81% 45% 13% 1%
10 REYNOLDS Jeremiah 100% 100% 92% 59% 20% 3%
11 RESTER Christopher 100% 99% 85% 46% 11%
12 PALMER Justin 100% 91% 62% 26% 5% -
13 RAY William 100% 100% 98% 84% 46% 10%
14 CORDOVA Colin 100% 58% 13% 1% -
15 BLEAU Benjamin 100% 87% 46% 9% 1%
16 REEVES Ruby 100% 80% 32% 4% -
17 BROWN Matt 100% 89% 43% 6% -
18 MACALUSO Matthew 100% 72% 21% 3% - -
19 WENTWORTH Ashley 100% 80% 36% 8% 1% -
20 SMITH Davidson 100% 53% 10% 1% - -
21 ETHRIDGE Christopher 100% 91% 52% 8% -
22 ALLEY Mary Ellis 100% 99% 91% 62% 23% 3%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.