American Challenge South ROC/RJCC/RYC

Div I-A Men's Saber

Saturday, September 3, 2022 at 3:00 PM

Orange County Convention Center - Hall WD1 - Orlando, FL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 EICHHORN Lukas H. 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 39%
2 ZHANG Derek 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 12%
3 FENG Leo 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 50% 12%
3 TONG ZACHARY 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 48%
5 HONG Steven 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 25%
6 DELARUE NELSON Y. 100% 100% 99% 88% 56% 16%
7 MARGULIES William 100% 100% 100% 96% 72% 26%
8 ZHANG Ethan W. 100% 100% 94% 73% 38% 11% 1%
9 LI Minghan 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 9%
10 LINDHOLM Oliver S. 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 28%
11 LIU Lawrence 100% 99% 92% 66% 25% 2%
12 CHAVES Matthew J. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 14%
13 XUE ALEXANDER 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 28%
14 DOARES Andrew 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 70%
15 GHENEA George Philipe 100% 100% 100% 97% 76% 24%
16 DUDNICK Christian 100% 95% 72% 32% 6% -
17 BONSELL Vance 100% 100% 98% 81% 37% 6%
18 PAN Alex 100% 100% 95% 71% 31% 5%
19 LIN Steve 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 14% 2%
20 GUAN Luke 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 7%
21 MAHAPATRA SAMARTH 100% 94% 67% 28% 6% -
22 MCCARTHY Devan 100% 99% 87% 55% 20% 4% -
23 DUPREE Thomas 100% 99% 90% 61% 22% 2%
24 ZHAO ERIC 100% 89% 55% 19% 3% -
25 KUSANAGI Soshi 100% 43% 8% 1% - -
25 CHEN Samuel 100% 93% 56% 15% 1% -
27 SHI Jeremy 100% 97% 68% 26% 5% -
28 SEOL Kyung 100% 100% 93% 65% 18% 2%
29 FANG Eason 100% 97% 75% 28% 5% -
30 GRAINGER Graeme 100% 94% 66% 28% 6% 1% -
31 WU Richard 100% 98% 77% 36% 8% 1%
32 BALLOU Johnathan 100% 95% 59% 16% 2% -
33 DECK Tyson 100% 91% 59% 21% 3% -
34 VAN NIMWEGEN Nicholas 100% 97% 79% 45% 15% 3% -
35 TIAGI Daniel 100% 69% 26% 5% - -
36 KIRSCH Alejandro 100% 72% 26% 4% - -
37 DE SOUZA CABRERO Yorrick 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 21% 3%
38 SILVA Steven 100% 95% 71% 34% 9% 1% -
39 PROUDNIK Anthony 100% 84% 45% 12% 1% -
40 MORELAND Jack 100% 28% 3% - - -
41 NAWAZ Taimoor 100% 64% 16% 1% - -
42 SUN Bill 100% 60% 18% 3% - - -
43 WOLF Gabriel 100% 92% 61% 22% 3% -
44 KHADAR Keith 100% 47% 10% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.