American Challenge South ROC/RJCC/RYC

Div I-A Women's Épée

Sunday, September 4, 2022 at 11:30 AM

Orange County Convention Center - Hall WD1 - Orlando, FL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 FORNARIS Susana 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 84%
2 BAKSA Frances E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 49%
3 SPURLIN Alicen 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 13%
3 MOON Seojung 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 23% 3%
5 NGUYEN Audrey 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 11%
6 LEE yat ching 100% 100% 98% 86% 49% 12% -
7 ROMERO KURI Celeste 100% 100% 95% 75% 40% 11% 1%
8 KUMAR Anusha 100% 100% 90% 57% 21% 4% -
9 DONGES Anna 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4% -
10 ROZET Alice 100% 95% 73% 36% 10% 1% -
11 CHIN Sia 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 19% 1%
12 DUARTE-GARCIA Zoya A. 100% 100% 95% 76% 43% 14% 2%
13 NIEMAN Aubrey 100% 97% 82% 48% 16% 2% -
14 NANTON SHYAMALA M. 100% 100% 99% 90% 58% 18% 1%
15 EDWARDS Auprell 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 41%
16 WANG Zarina 100% 85% 48% 15% 2% - -
17 BYBEE Lucy J. 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 20% 3%
18 PELLICIER Adriana M. 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 4%
19 ECHEVERRY Sofia 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 11%
20 SANCHEZ-EMDEN Marta 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 34% 6%
21 WONG Caitlin 100% 98% 83% 50% 17% 2% -
22 CHENG Ava 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 34%
23 RILEY Grace 100% 70% 25% 4% - - -
24 BOWIE Charlotta 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 15% 2%
25 GUAN Isabella 100% 100% 92% 62% 25% 5% -
26 FORTIER Adriana 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 8% 1%
27 ZIMMERMAN Karmen 100% 97% 81% 49% 18% 3% -
28 MIHALIK Alva 100% 98% 73% 32% 7% 1% -
29 MCCREARY Madeleine 100% 52% 14% 2% - - -
30 RODA Thaleia 100% 76% 34% 8% 1% - -
31 COURTNEY Elya Rebekah 100% 97% 80% 42% 12% 1% -
32 WILFORD Madigan 100% 88% 56% 22% 4% - -
33 NIEMAN Anjolie 100% 75% 29% 5% - - -
34 MAY Courtney 100% 13% 1% - - - -
35 DE SOLO Elizabeth 100% 97% 68% 29% 7% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.