April Championship and NAC

Div I Women's Épée

Sunday, April 14, 2019 at 1:00 PM

Salt Lake City, UT - Salt Lake City, UT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WASHINGTON Isis 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 79%
2 JOYCE Michaela 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 51% 13%
3 SIRICO Amanda E. 100% 100% 100% 97% 86% 57% 20%
3 HOLMES Katharine (Kat) W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 51%
5 NIXON Catherine (Kasia) D. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 34%
6 ANGEN Katie R. 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 43% 12%
7 MO Victoria 100% 100% 95% 77% 40% 8%
8 HUSISIAN Hadley N. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 12%
9 MONTOYA Kimberlee C. 100% 99% 90% 66% 34% 10% 1%
10 WANG Karen 100% 100% 94% 74% 39% 10% 1%
11 SHEFFIELD Lake Mawu 100% 100% 94% 75% 40% 11% 1%
12 ZAFFT Tatiana M. 100% 98% 83% 51% 19% 3% -
13 PHILLIPS Summer E. 100% 99% 92% 72% 40% 13% 2%
14 LEE Sumin 100% 99% 85% 53% 21% 4% -
15 BARNA Isabella 100% 95% 74% 38% 11% 1%
16 LIANG Jessica 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 20% 3%
17 STEWART Tatijana I. 100% 100% 99% 94% 77% 44% 13%
18 KHAMIS Yasmine A. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 43%
19 GAO Aretha R. 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 3% -
20 VIERHELLER Giana (Gigi) L. 100% 100% 99% 90% 66% 29% 5%
21 LOMBARD Ella 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 16% 2%
22 BEDDINGFIELD Claire E. 100% 100% 98% 87% 61% 27% 6%
23 PROCTOR Sara J. 100% 99% 94% 76% 42% 12% 1%
24 RAUSCH Ariana (Ari) M. 100% 99% 89% 62% 26% 4%
25 RATZLAFF Jocelyn T. 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 8%
26 TONCHEVA Victoria M. 100% 98% 87% 61% 29% 8% 1%
27 CEBULA Anne 100% 98% 85% 57% 25% 6% 1%
28 MANGANO Ariana J. 100% 100% 98% 87% 61% 26% 5%
29 WANG Elizabeth 100% 99% 90% 68% 36% 11% 2%
30 YEU Irene 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 13%
31 BOYS Nishta B. 100% 100% 94% 73% 39% 12% 2%
32 MYERS Helen Sophia A. 100% 82% 47% 17% 4% - -
33 ROBLES Elena 100% 96% 75% 41% 14% 2% -
34 BATES Cassandra L. 100% 100% 95% 79% 48% 18% 3%
35 CHIMAHUSKY Rebecca 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 28% 6%
36 KOPECKY Lydia J. 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 17%
37 VIE Natalie J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 51%
38 DUNLAP-SMITH Azaline I. 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 28% 4%
39 PAUL Anna L. 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 28% 5%
40 GARINA Ania (Ganusia) 100% 98% 85% 56% 24% 6% 1%
41 GUZZI VINCENTI Margherita A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 31%
42 O'DONNELL Amanda A. 100% 100% 98% 87% 61% 27% 5%
43 SNIDER Margot (Maggie) 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 9% -
44 KIM Diane E. 100% 86% 51% 17% 3% -
45 BRILL Sophie 100% 95% 73% 36% 9% 1%
46 DANIEL Chloe L. 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 9% 1%
47 O'REILLY Aeryn E. 100% 86% 51% 18% 3% - -
48 LEE Yejine 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1% -
49 GRESHAM Sarah L. 100% 92% 65% 31% 9% 1% -
50 YAMANAKA Mina 100% 99% 94% 77% 46% 16% 3%
51 BINDAS Blodwen S. 100% 94% 70% 36% 12% 2% -
52 MCLANE Lauren 100% 97% 79% 46% 16% 3% -
53 ADAMS KIM Madeline 100% 95% 71% 34% 8% 1%
54 TANIBAJEVA Rachel L. 100% 100% 98% 90% 66% 32% 7%
55 TAYLOR Audrey Y. 100% 98% 86% 58% 24% 5% -
56 HAMILTON Pauline S. 100% 100% 97% 84% 57% 25% 5%
57 NGUYEN Kaylin A. 100% 93% 69% 33% 9% 1% -
58 WU Amelia 100% 100% 97% 83% 54% 21% 3%
59 HEDVAT Alexis S. 100% 98% 82% 46% 12% 1% -
59 ZUHARS Renee A. 100% 99% 93% 72% 40% 13% 2%
61 MALDONADO Pilar I. 100% 99% 92% 71% 39% 13% 2%
62 BEITTEL Chloe F. 100% 100% 93% 71% 36% 10% 1%
63 KANG Dahyun 100% 87% 55% 23% 6% 1% -
63 KOWALSKY Rachel A. 100% 93% 68% 32% 9% 1% -
65 TYLER Syd 100% 97% 82% 49% 16% 2% -
66 CHU Audrey 100% 91% 61% 24% 5% -
67 DESAMOURS Sabine I. 100% 84% 47% 15% 3% -
68 HILL Gabrielle (Gabby) M. 100% 92% 66% 31% 9% 1% -
69 KUNDU Anisha 100% 93% 67% 32% 9% 1% -
70 LIVERANT Jordan S. 100% 89% 58% 24% 5% 1% -
70 MYERS Jeanelle Christina A. 100% 33% 5% - - - -
72 LEIGHTON Eleanor T. 100% 72% 31% 7% 1% - -
72 PYO Yunice 100% 92% 66% 30% 8% 1% -
74 BEI Karen 100% 87% 54% 20% 4% - -
75 LEANG Andrea K. 100% 81% 43% 13% 2% - -
76 CHAN Cheri K. 100% 97% 84% 54% 23% 5% 1%
77 DOLGONOS Melanie 100% 90% 60% 24% 5% 1% -
78 KWON Athina 100% 96% 75% 39% 12% 2% -
79 GRESHAM Rebekah L. 100% 97% 80% 49% 19% 4% -
80 KAIN Isabel J. 100% 85% 49% 16% 3% -
81 BARNES Olivia R. 100% 89% 57% 23% 5% 1% -
82 KIMURA Kimberley H. 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.